ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday December 28, 2007
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...Severe Weather Possible Today...

Severe weather is possible across Alabama today as a
powerful upper trough and strong cold front move affect the state
today. While it is not a classic situation, it is one that we must
take seriously. Since it has been awhile since we had a severe
weather situation, it is a good time to contemplate your personal
severe weather situation. Make sure that you have a reliable source
for instant weather information and a plan in case severe weather
threatens today.

THE SITUATION: Our strong trough of low pressure is
rotating toward the Deep South today. Up at about 5,000 feet, a strong
low level jet, or flow of air is streaming copious amounts of moisture
northward over the South. This trough is becoming what we call
negatively tilted, meaning that its axis is oriented from northwest to
southeast. This gives it added punch. At the surface, low pressure
is developing over the Arklatex. This low will push a warm front
northward this morning, bringing a round of mainly elevated
thunderstorms along with it.

As the low moves northeast, our winds will be
increasing out of the south and southeast and it will become breezy
today. Dewpoints will rise into the upper 50s. Skies will be mostly
cloudy today, but if we get some breaks in the overcast, temperatures
could get warmer than we think. We are projecting highs in the lower
60s, but with a little surface heating, temperatures in the middle or
upper 60s could make instability levels increase more than we expect.
For now, we will call for minimal instability. But the complicating
factor is the shear. Wind shear values will be extremely high today.

A line of strong thunderstorms will approach from
the west today. Any storms that form ahead of the line of storms
could become severe with the possibility of isolated tornadoes. As
the line moves across Alabama, individual storms will have the
opportunity to become severe, and could produce damaging winds or even
tornadoes.

So, it is not a classic severe weather situation,
but one that bears watching. Rainfall amounts should be decent,
averaging a little more than one half inch, with localized one inch
amounts possible.

MOVING AHEAD: Showers will end from the west tonight as
our winds shift to westerly and northwesterly. Temperatures will drop
into the lower 40s. Saturday should dawn cloudy and cool, but we will
get a period of sunshine. The front will not make it very far to our
south, and low pressure will form along the Louisiana Coast on
Saturday night. Showers will overspread the area again and Sunday
looks like a wet day. Rainfall could average one inch on Sunday.
Cooler air will filter in behind the front on Monday, but a surge of
much colder air will arrive Tuesday, bringing us some of the coldest
air in quite some time. The mercury may not rise above freezing on
Tuesday and Wednesday across North Alabama. Lows Wednesday morning
and Thursday morning will drop to the lower 20s Wednesday and
Thursday morning, with teens in colder locations.

ON THIS DATE IN 1997: One passenger was killed and 63
injured aboard a United Airlines 747 flying from Tokyo to Honolulu
when the aircraft encountered clear air turbulence. Clear air
turbulence is very hard to predict and often strikes with little
warning. It usually occurs around the edges of the jetstream and near
mountain ranges. It is like a big pothole in the sky, shaking planes
violently and often causing them to drop large distances. Over 100
people are injured in turbulence related incidents in the U.S. each
year, a very small amount considering there are 23,600 commercial
flights each day, but injuries can still be serious.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Windy with showers and storms. Some storms could be severe.
Afternoon High 64
WIND: S 15-25

SATURDAY
A cloudy start, then some sun. More showers arrive overnight.
Morning Low 45 Afternoon High 58
WIND: N 5-10

SUNDAY
Rain likely, especially central sections.
Morning Low 41 Afternoon High 58
WIND: S 7-14

MONDAY
Clearing and cooler.
Morning Low 36 Afternoon High 56
WIND: W 10-15

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny and much colder.
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 35
WIND: N 10-15

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