ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday December 18, 2007
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...A Slow Warming Trend Begins...

SLOW WARMING TREND: No record warmth around here anytime soon, but
temperatures will begin a slow warming trend this afternoon as we
climb into the mid to upper 50s with a partly sunny sky. Clouds will
thicken tonight in advance of a weak upper air impulse, and we will
mention an outside risk of a shower tomorrow thanks to this feature,
but most Alabama communities will remain dry. The best chance of rain
this week comes on Thursday with a stronger wave rolling in from the
west; looks like we can expect around 1/2 inch of rain Thursday with a
few thunderstorms possible as well. Then, a slot of drier air settles
back into the state on Friday. But, the wave train is very active, and
the weather will stay changeable through the rest of December.

WEEKEND PEEK: A fairly vigorous weather system will bring another
round of rain and thunderstorms to Alabama late Saturday, Saturday
night, and early Sunday morning. The latest guidance suggests rain
with this system will be somewhere between one-half and one inch.
There might even be some strong thunderstorms involved, but
instability values will be marginal for a major threat. The best
chance of severe storm, most likely, will be over the southern third
of the state.

DREAMING OF A WHITE CHRISTMAS? Best thing to do is hop on an airplane
and head for a city like Chicago, Cleveland, Buffalo, or Burlington,
Vermont. A huge blanket of snow covers much of the Midwest, the Great
Lakes, and the Northeast U.S., and it isn't going anywhere through
Christmas. In fact, more snow is likely in these regions with the
weekend storm. They will be digging out for many days to come. Here in
Alabama, the weather looks very peaceful for Christmas Eve and
Christmas Day, with cool and dry weather along with temperatures near
normal; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

OUR WHITE CHRISTMAS HISTORY: For Birmingham, where nearly 100 years of
weather records exist, there has never been a White Christmas in the
classic sense. Perhaps the closest resemblance to a White Christmas in
Birmingham was December, 1985. Flurries falling on Christmas Eve and
early Christmas morning lightly dusted some areas, but snow was not
deep enough to measure.Eight other trace snowfall events occurring in
1961, 1963, 1966, 1980, 1989, 1990, 1993, and 1995 were reported at
the Birmingham International Airport on either December 24th or 25th.
Weather records show that 5.5 inches of snow fell at the city office
on December 22, 1929. On December 24th, there was still 2.5 inches of
snow on the ground at 7 PM. However, most of the snow melted Christmas
Day when the temperature climbed to 51 degrees. (thanks to the
Birmingham NWS for these stats).

ROAMING: Cold air continues to deepen across Alaska; yesterday's high
in Fairbanks was 11 below zero, after a low of 26 below. The warmest
temperature in the nation yesterday was only 69 degrees, recorded at
Miami and Ft. Lauderdale, Florida.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny and a little warmer.
Afternoon High 57
WIND: S 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. A small risk of a shower.
Morning Low 36 Afternoon High 58
WIND: S 6-12

THURSDAY
Periods of rain and possibly a thunderstorm.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 60
WIND: SW 7-14

FRIDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 57
WIND: W 6-12

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy. An afternoon shower possible; rain and thunderstorms
likely Saturday night.
Morning Low 49 Afternoon High 63
WIND: SW 8-16

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