ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday November 12, 2007

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DRY AS A BONE: The numbers pretty much tell the story… so far in
November, there has been no measurable rain in Birmingham, and the
total for 2007 is only 25.23"; a deficiency of 21.26". The situation
is even more severe over in Anniston; the deficit for 2007 is a
whopping 28.87". To say we need some rain is a big time understatement.

The good news is that moisture levels are slowly increasing over the
state, and there is some chance a few showers show up by tomorrow
afternoon. But, there will be a better chance of showers and a few
thunderstorms late Wednesday and Wednesday night as a cold front moves
through Alabama. The latest computer model guidance suggests our best
chance of rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Wednesday through 6:00
a.m. Thursday. Looks like we will have the potential for around one-
half inch of rain; some lucky communities might see a little more.

COLDER AIR RETURNS on Thursday; looks like we might have a hard time
getting out of the 50s on Thursday despite the return of sunshine in
full force. Then, by Friday morning we will drop well down into the
30s with a good chance of frost; the colder valleys and protected
areas can expect a light freeze. Friday will be another sunny and cool
day.

WEEKEND PEEK: For now, it looks like a majority of the weekend will be
rain-free across Alabama, with a high in the 65 to 70 range. Moisture
levels will be increasing, so a few isolated showers are not totally
out of the question, but for now it looks like it will be Monday of
next week before the next decent opportunity for widespread rain
arrives.

ACROSS THE FRUITED PLAIN: Coldest place in the nation this morning was
Arctic Village, Alaska with 17 degrees below zero. Coldest spots in
the "lower 48" were Berlin, New Hampshire and Stanley, Idaho with 10
degrees.

TROPICS: The 2007 hurricane season is down to the last three weeks;
disturbed weather continues across the southwest part of the
Caribbean, but the system is not expected to become any better
organized. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is
down to 66 degrees, so the central Gulf Coast season is just about
wrapped up with that kind of cool water in place.

A BIG THANK YOU to everyone who came out to Storm Alert Xtreme
Saturday at the BJCC… we had a standing room only crowd, meaning
hundreds of new Skywatchers will be added to our team of trained
severe weather spotters. Brian Peters did his usual great job; also
thanks to Jim Stefkovich, Meteorologist-In-Charge of the National
Weather Service in Birmingham, and research Tim Coleman of the
University of Alabama in Huntsville for excellent presentations. Also,
thanks to Brett McBrayer and everyone with the Birmingham Automobile
Dealers Association for their hospitality and partnership; they allow
us the space at the BJCC every year during the Alabama International
Auto Show… we are already looking forward to Storm Alert Xtreme 2008!

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Mostly fair.
Overnight Low 45
WIND: Light S

TUESDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. A few widely scattered afternoon showers.
Morning Low 51 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SW 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Occasionally cloudy with scattered showers and possibly a
thunderstorm, mostly Wednesday night.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 76
WIND: SW 6-12

THURSDAY
Breezy and much cooler. Becoming mostly sunny.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 61
WIND: N 10-20

FRIDAY
Sunny with a cold morning.
Morning Low 35 Afternoon High 65
WIND: NE 5-10

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