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Monday, November 05, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday November 5, 2007

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Things are beginning to change across Alabama on this Monday
afternoon. A strong low pressure system is moving through the Great
Lakes. Alabama continues in a northwesterly flow aloft. The surface
low and upper trough will drive a fairly strong cold front through
Alabama overnight. Ahead of it, clouds will be on the increase from
the west and northwest this afternoon. A band of showers will move
into the state this evening and pass through the area overnight.
Rainfall amounts will be light, generally less than one tenth of an
inch, if any falls at all.

TOMORROW WILL FEEL DIFFERENT: Instead of today's highs in the upper
70s, the mercury will struggle to get out of the 50s here. It will be
sunny but windy, with northerly winds averaging some 8-18 mph. The
increased winds, low humidities and continued drought conditions will
support an escalated fire danger Tuesday afternoon, so outdoor burning
should be postponed.

FREEZE IN OUR FUTURE: A freeze is possible across much of the area
Tuesday night and again Wednesday with a surface high in the
neighborhood, light winds and excellent radiational cooling
conditions. Temperatures will fall into the 20s at many locations, so
most places will see their first light freeze of the season. After a
sunny day on Wednesday, with temperatures again in the 50s, another
freeze is possible Wednesday night when readings will be as low as
Tuesday night.

CLIPPER SYSTEM: A Clipper type low pressure system will slide
southeastward Thursday and Friday through the Great Lakes toward the
Mid-Atlantic. It may bring snow to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and
Northeast before turning into a decent, nor'easter off the East Coast
next weekend. I earlier believed we might see a brief round of
showers Friday, but it looks like the system will simply deliver a
reinforcing shot of cool, dry air, setting the stage for a beautiful
weekend here.

NEXT TROUGH: The global models have been consistently pointing to
the possibility of a big storm system across the eastern U.S. next
week. They are still bullish on that idea with a strong negative tilt
trough rotating through here on the 13th. This would bring good rain
chances and the possibility of some severe weather. Earlier runs had
indicated there might be some cold air involved, even pointing to snow
down through the Appalachians. The system looks a lot warmer now.
We'll take the rain, thanks.

ON THIS DATE IN 2003: Records of all kinds were falling like autumn
leaves across the U.S. Records were reported in at least twenty eight
states, including record highs, record lows, record warm minimums,
record rainfalls and daily record snowfalls. Record highs were
established at dozens of locations across the eastern United States.
Here at home, new daily temperature records were broken at Birmingham
and Pinson as the mercury reached 83 and 85 degrees respectively. In
addition, Birmingham's early morning low of 71 was the warmest low
ever for the date.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Increasing clouds. A small chance of a shower.
Overnight Low 44
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
Windy and much cooler with a good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 58
WIND: NW 12-22

WEDNESDAY
Sunny with a morning freeze likely
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 59
WIND: N 5-10

THURSDAY
Sunny with another morning freeze.
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 64
WIND: NE 5-10

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 38 Afternoon High 68
WIND: NE 5-10

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