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Thursday, November 01, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday November 1, 2007
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===================================================================

A FRESH SUPPLY OF DRIER AIR: A cold front will pass through Alabama
today; often than can mean showers and thunderstorms this time of the
year, but with hardly any moisture to work with, we will keep the
forecast dry. A few scattered clouds will show up, and winds will
increase out of the north this afternoon, but otherwise most folks
won't really know a front is in the neighborhood. A new shot of cooler
and drier air will roll into Alabama late this afternoon and tonight,
and that will prolong our long dry spell for at least the next five
days. Tomorrow will feature sunshine in full supply, and tomorrow
night will be picture perfect for high school football games with a
crystal clear sky and temperatures falling into the 50s during the
games.

The fine fall weather continues over the weekend with a sunny sky both
Saturday and Sunday; afternoon highs will be in the 67 to 71 degree
range, with early morning lows well down in the 40s. There is a pretty
decent chance that some of the colder valleys will reach the upper 30s
both Saturday and Sunday morning.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The next surface front is due in here Tuesday of
next week; that will be the leading edge of the coolest air so far
this season for much of the continental U.S. Unfortunately, it looks
like that front will encounter another very dry airmass, so beneficial
rain doesn't look likely. In fact, most communities probably won't see
a drop of rain. Then, chilly air rolls in here during the middle of
next week; it looks like many North Alabama cities will dip down into
the 30s by Thursday morning (one week from today) with a good chance
of widespread frost.

The long range models show even colder air moving southward by
mid-month, but it remains to be seen if a significant rain event will
develop across the Deep South ahead of that front. Birmingham's rain
deficit for the year is just under 20 inches (19.66"), and the
deficiency for Anniston is 27.43". Most of Alabama, needless to say,
remains in an exceptional drought.

NOEL: The tropical storm continue to produce lots of wind and rain
across the Bahamas as it moves slowly northward with winds of 60 mph.
The system is expected to remain a strong tropical storm, and will
slowly turn to the northeast during the next 24 hours. Noel will pass
close enough to Southeast Florida to warrant a tropical storm watch,
but the core of the storm will remain east of Miami and West Palm
Beach. Noel will not impact Alabama's weather in any way.

WELCOME NOVEMBER: Today, the average high in Birmingham is 69 degrees;
it drops to 60 by the end of the month. The warmest November
temperature on record is 85, set on November 1, 2000, and November 2,
2003. The coldest November temperature is 5 degrees above zero, on
November 25, 1950. Today marks the beginning of our fall tornado
season.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Breezy at times.
Afternoon High 73
WIND: N 10-15

FRIDAY
Sunshine in full supply.
Morning Low 48 Afternoon High 70
WIND: N 5-10

SATURDAY
Sunny with a cool morning.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 69
WIND: NE 5-10

SUNDAY
Another sunny day.
Morning Low 43 Afternoon High 71
WIND: E 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 74
WIND: SE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

7:00 Ugly Betty
8:00 Grey's Anatomy
9:00 Big Shots
10:00 ABC 33/40 10pm News

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