ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Wednesday October 24, 2007

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THE LONG HOT SUMMER IS OVER: That is obvious, because that is a
tongue-in-cheek headline. It has been a very cool dreary day across
Alabama as temperatures languished in the 50s over most of the state
all afternoon. Temperatures dropped as low as the mid 40s overnight
over the west and SW part of the state, including Mobile where it was
47.

WE DO HAVE A PROBLEM: It is a pesky cold core upper-low pressure
area. This afternoon it was centered over West Mississippi. These
systems have a lot colder air aloft and that colder air often works
down to the surface. To illustrate the contrast, the temperature this
morning at 18,000 feet was an amazing 38 degrees colder over Jackson,
Mississippi than it was over Birmingham. It was 8 above over Jackson
and 46 over Birmingham. The two weather models that we socialize with
the most, bring the closed low into Central Alabama tomorrow. After
visiting for a while, it curves to the north and NW and eventually
winds up over SE Missouri. We are not certain that will happen. If it
was later in the season, a set up like this could give us a surprise
snow. Not cold enough this time, but we are forecasting a high of
only 56 for Thursday. That is a substantial disagreement with the
models, but I think James Spann latched on to it with his earlier
forecast and I see no reason to change. James is our cold core upper-
low investigator. Occasional showers and drizzle will occur tonight
and Thursday and ending on Friday morning. The weekend looks great
with chilly early mornings, but highs in the mid 70s during the
afternoon.

A NOTE OF THANKS: James passed along the information this morning
that we now have 30,150 subscribers to our e-forecast which is sent
out free by e-mail twice a day. That is an amazing number. About a
year after I retired from the National Weather Service, I started
helping James publish his daily weather fax. Back then we did three
editions, East Alabama, Birmingham area and West Alabama. I believe
we started off with four subscribers in the east edition. Of course,
that grew over the years. The ABC 33/40 Weather Blog has been highly
successful thanks to you readers. The number of contacts on the blog
during adverse weather is absolutely mind-boggling and our weather
crew tries to keep fresh information posted day and night.

ATLANTA: This latest rain event brought 1.03 inches of rain to
Marietta and 0.73 to Atlanta Airport. Atlanta has now received more
than 5 inches in the last 7 weeks, but they are still 16 inches below
normal for the year as of today. Anniston is in much worse shape with
a deficiency of 26.59. Down in New Orleans, they have received 11.47
inches of rain n the last 7 weeks.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: After getting a bit of rest yesterday,
I enjoyed the first game of the doggy world series with Molly and she
was happy as a lark. I could tell that she has really playing with
me, because she follows me around so much lately. On our walk
yesterday morning, we noticed that the Old Crow Motel had leaves that
were about 50% turned, but the Old Crow Motel (as the name implies)
must be at least 100 years old and it looks like it has arthritis. It
is still a haven for old crows and other birds. We named it that
because on our very first walk five years ago, two old crows were
perched on the upper rooms (limbs) in a vicious argument—possibly
discussing divorce. Life goes on......

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Cloudy and cool with occasional showers and drizzle.
Overnight Low 46
WIND: SW 5-10

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chilly intermittent rain or drizzle.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon 56
WIND: SW 6-12

FRIDAY
A slight chance of light rain early. Some afternoon sunshine.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 65
WIND: W 6-12

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny and pleasant. A chilly early morning.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 73
WIND: NW 5-10

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 49 Afternoon High 74
WIND: N 5-10

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