ABC 33/40 EWARN: Hurricane Local Statement

From ABC 33/40 E-Warn :

WTUS84 KMOB 211739
HLSMOB
ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ075-076-078-079-212230-

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1238 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WITH THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...OKALOOSA...ESCAMBIA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...STONE...PERRY AND GREENE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA
ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY FOR PERRY AND GREENE COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1230 PM CDT...EGLIN AIR FORCE BASE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED THAT
THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 4O MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PORT SAINT JOE FLORIDA. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL
TO THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI NEED TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
THIS AFTERNOON. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COASTAL SECTIONS NEED TO SEEK SAFER SHELTER. TAKE ACTION NOW TO
SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY BEACH FRONT HOMES AND BOATS. STAY TUNED
TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST EVACUATION
INFORMATION.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TIDE
HEIGHTS COULD REACH 3 TO 5 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE STORM MOVES
WEST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE DESTIN AND FORT
WALTON BEACH AREAS THIS EVENING...AND THE SANTA ROSA ISLAND AREA
AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF BALDWIN AND MOBILE...
INCLUDING MOBILE BAY...EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE-10. THE WINDS WILL BEGIN ACROSS SOUTHERN OKALOOSA AND
SOUTHERN SANTA ROSA COUNTIES THIS EVENING...SOUTHERN ESCAMBIA
FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTIES AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND SOUTHERN
MOBILE COUNTY BY DAYBREAK. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ALSO
OCCUR EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXIT THE
WARNED AREA BY SATURDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT SATURDAY FOR PERRY AND GREENE
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING
SUSTAINED SPEED OF 30 TO 35 MPH EARLY SATURDAY AND DIMINISHING BY
SATURDAY EVENING.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND WAVES. RIP
CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION...
MINOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE
WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND.

...RAINFALL TOTALS...
RAINFALL ACCUMULATION OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES WITH THIS SYSTEM.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 530 PM OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY.

$$

PURDY/BEELER

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