ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Sunday September 30, 2007
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...October To Start On Dry Note...

October is typically the driest month of the year on average in
Birmingham. On average, 3.23 inches of rain falls in the month. The
first fifteen days of the month look like they are going to live up to
the arid advance billing. In fact, the first half of the month may be
as dry as a bone in the Magic City.

BEAUTIFUL WEEKEND: It has been a picture perfect weekend across
Alabama, with brilliant blue skies, warm temperatures, low humidities
and a refreshing easterly breeze. All of this is thanks to a surface
high over New England. This sprawling anticyclone extends all the way
into the Southeast. Aloft, we find a ridge of high pressure over the
Mississippi Valley. The combination of the two is keeping Alabama
mostly clear and warm. Unfortunately, the low humidities and breezy
conditions are contributing to a high fire danger. While the danger
will not be as great today as yesterday, it will still be high this
afternoon and extreme caution must be exercised to prevent fires. The
dry air leads to large ranges in daily temperatures from lows that are
right around average to highs that are a few degrees above average.

BROKEN RECORD: The forecast has become tiresome. Beautiful but
tiresome. Dry and warm conditions will continue for the foreseeable
future with no storm systems to speak of on the horizon for the next
week certainly and perhaps for the next two weeks. Highs through the
coming week will be in the 80s. Lows will gradually edge into the
60s.

NATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS: Severe weather is possible today over parts of
the Midwest, from NE Oklahoma and SE Kansas across much of Missouri
and into Iowa. The high pressure over New England is producing a
strong onshore flow along the coasts of South Carolina, Georgia and
eastern Florida, where coastal flood watches and high surf advisories
are in effect. Gale warnings may be issued today for parts of this
area.

TROPICS: Karen weakened to a tropical depression Saturday morning,
then it was declassified on the afternoon advisory package as it
weakened into an area of low pressure with disorganized thunderstorms.
The system will be monitored for signs of regeneration. There is
still some potential that if it holds together, it will move into an
area where upper level winds are conducive to re-intensification and
then it could be an East Coast problem. The convection with Tropical
Storm Melissa flared up a bit on Saturday despite the presence of
cooler sea surface temperatures and wind shear. The wind shear will
increase as the storm moves west northwestward in the far eastern
Atlantic. Melissa will likely dissipate within three days and poses
no threat to land.

ON THIS DATE IN 1992: Fairbanks, Alaska recorded its coldest
September ever. Snowfall totaled 24.4 inches during the month. Green
plants had their foliage frozen in place. Extended power outages
occurred as trees bent over power lines because of the heavy, wet
snow.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Another fine start to the day. Sunny and pleasant.
Afternoon High 85
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Plentiful sunshine.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 5-10

TUESDAY
Sunny skies the rule.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 87
WIND: S 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 5-10

THURSDAY
A mix of clouds and sun.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 5-10

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6:00pm Extreme Makeover
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