ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday September 30, 2007
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SECOND ANNUAL CALHOUN COUNTY FALL FEST
October 13 in Anniston

Hundreds of people turned out last year on a beautiful October day to
enjoy a day of celebration of agriculture, regional foods, home-made
goods, and local arts and crafts on McClellan's historic parade
grounds. This year promises to be bigger and better.

In the tradition of a county fair, contests will be held in a variety
of cooking and handcraft divisions, including the chicken-que, canned
goods and baked goods contests, and arts and crafts contests. Contact
the Calhoun County Extension Office at 256-237-1621 for complete rules
and submission guidelines or visit http://www.aces.edu/Calhoun/

click
on the Fall Fest logo and links for contest entry forms are at the
bottom of the page.

Other activities include a cake walk, hay rides, face painting for
children, pumpkin patch, antique tractor show and farm animals. Local
farmers will be selling their autumn produce, and area master
gardeners can help you can dress up your summer weary yard at their
plant sale. Local artists and crafts people will also be selling
their wares at Buckner Market.
Food and beverage vendors will also be on hand, so plan on spending
the whole day. Live music will be provided by the band "Cowboy Up",
led by former "Sawyer Brown" fiddle and guitarist Bobby Randall. Take
Alabama Hwy 21 north through Anniston, and turn right at the new
Lowe's. Follow the signs to historic Buckner.
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...A Beautiful Sunday...

Another gorgeous fall day is in progress across Alabama with lots of
warm sunshine, relatively low humidities and a nice easterly breeze.
Winds are lighter than yesterday, helping to ease the fire threat just
a bit. Red flag warnings are in effect again today, meaning there is
a critical wildfire danger.

THIS JUST IN: Overnight runs of the GFS have become bullish on the
idea of a tropical low at midweek moving from east of Florida into the
Central Gulf of Mexico. The system moves westward, then possibly
northward ahead of a trough late in the week. This would be a welcome
change to our monotonous October-like forecast. Normally, we would
appreciate the fine, dry October weather, but we need the rain. So,
we will call for a chance of widespread rain across South Alabama on
Thursday with a chance of rain over the rest of the state Friday. An
ancillary benefit of the tropical low would be a weakening of the
ridge over the Southeast, which could open the door for a solid cold
front by Sunday. And this front would have lots of moisture to work
with, meaning a good chance of showers and storms late in the weekend.
Anything to knockout these persistent high pressure ridges that have
been plaguing us all summer (all for the past couple of years it
seems.)

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Karen met an untimely demise on Saturday as
very strong southwesterly winds sheared the thunderstorms from around
the center. The remnant low will continue northwestward and could
regenerate as it encounters more favorable upper level wind
conditions, but that is looking more and more unlikely. Melissa has
been downgraded to a tropical depression as it continues to battle
strong westerly wind shear. The depression will continue to weaken,
likely dissipating over the next couple of days. Something could
develop out of the disturbed weather east of the Bahamas and Florida.
One of the global models is predicting a strong hurricane moving up
the East Coast. The GFS has even bought into this idea with a weaker
system. Another idea is the tropical low that moves into the Gulf,
affecting our weather later in the week ahead.

ON THIS DATE IN 2002: The 2002 North Atlantic Hurricane Season
started off slow, prompting researchers like Dr. Bill Gray to
downgrade his forecasts for the season. September is usually the most
active month, but no one expected what happened in September 2002. As
September rolled around, the counts suddenly exploded. A record eight
named tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basis during the month.
This is far greater than the average 3 to 4 that usually occur and
nearly equal to the long term average for an entire season. It is
one better than the previous record of 7 observed in September 1998.
The reasons for the burst of activity are hard to pinpoint, but one
reason is that systems formed in multiple reasons. Another reason is
that 2002 was the first year that the National Hurricane Center
started naming subtropical storms.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Another fine start to the day. Sunny and pleasant.
Overnight Low 60
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Plentiful sunshine.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 83
WIND: SE 5-10

TUESDAY
Sunny skies the rule.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 88
WIND: S 5-10

THURSDAY
A mix of clouds and sun.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

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6:00pm Extreme Makeover
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