ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday September 20, 2007

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GULF OF MEXICO STILL KEEPING A SECRET: Our dear friend, the Gulf,
still does not have a tropical depression or tropical storm within
her vast domain. During the last 24 hours, a low-pressure system
moved across the Florida Peninsula. It became just a little better
organized this morning over the East/Central Gulf. The National
Hurricane Center still cannot detect tropical action, although a
hurricane hunter was investigating the area today.

Regardless, the Gulf still holds the key to our weather for the next
several days. Here in Central Alabama we believe we will have another
dry day Friday and with only a slight chance of a shower or
thunderstorm on Saturday. Even then the better chance will be down
over South Alabama. We are calling for scattered showers and
thunderstorms Sunday and Monday with highs in the mid 80s. Everything
depends on the movement of the low in the East Gulf and how well it
develops.

TROPICAL WEATHER: If the disturbance over the East Gulf becomes
tropical and takes on a name, it will be Jerry. The forecast is for
this low to move WNW across the NE Gulf of Mexico and then pass just
south of Pensacola, Mobile and Biloxi over the weekend. One of the
weather models takes the center inland near the mouth of the
Mississippi River late Saturday. One of the other models downplays
the system before it gets there. We should not even mention that,
because the bottom line is that no one knows for sure yet and we will
be unable to get a good handle on this system until recon information
is available and the NHC can grab hold.

COASTAL ALABAMA: The storm system is expected to pass very near
Dauphin Island. For the Alabama/NW Florida beaches, this means that
showers and thunderstorms will become numerous by Friday afternoon
and continue numerous, at times, at least through Saturday with winds
up to 30 mph. Still a good chance of showers and storms on Sunday,
but thinning out by Monday. The risk of rip currents is expected to
become high by Saturday.

THE WORLD OF WEATHER: Two good reports of autumn foliage. Bonne
Jackson, our subscriber in Saranac Lake, New York says that autumn
color is really getting underway and she has seen Canada geese. (See
some photographs she made this morning on the 33/40 blog.) Out in
Northern Utah, Matt Marshall says the color is really beginning to
show and he and his wife plan a photo op trip in the mountains this
weekend, if their new 8-week old baby permits. Congrats to them. A
sign of the times—the hottest in the USA yesterday was 99 in the
Phoenix area—the first time in weeks and weeks that no one had 100.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: We have been living here 6 years and
yesterday was a first. Late in the day a hummingbird flew inside our
screened in patio and made itself at home. Little Miss Molly had
never seen a hummingbird before. Since she is the nosiest little dog
in the whole wide world, she really got interested. The grandkids
prepared some sugar water for the bird. We left the door open all
night and this morning it was gone. Little Miss Molly had a restful
night, but it sounds like she has nightmares at times—moaning real
loud. She may be dreaming of a walk around the block with me, a fast-
paced ballgame or a delicious treat. She never has a dull moment. Got
great results from my annual nuclear stress test yesterday. I have
now updated my forecast that I will live to 110 and stay active until
105. Gotta figure out how to keep Little Miss Molly alive that long.
Life goes on......

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Fair
Overnight Low 65
WIND: NE 4-8

FRIDAY
More sun than clouds.
Morning Low 65 Afternoon 87
WIND: E 7-14

SATURDAY
Partly sunny and breezy. A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm,
mostly south.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 10-15

SUNDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 7-14

MONDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SE 7-14

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