ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday September 18, 2007
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...Dry Through Mid-Week...

QUIET WEATHER THIS WEEK: All signs point to a relatively benign
weather pattern for Alabama for the rest of the week with warm
afternoons but pleasant nights. Temperatures will be fairly close to
normal values, with highs generally in the 80s, and low in the 60s.
Some of the cooler valleys, however, should reach the 50s early
tomorrow morning. An easterly flow might mean some increase in
Atlantic moisture late in the week, but for now we will not mention
any significant chance of rain through Friday.

WEEKEND PEEK: The best chance of rain over the weekend will be over
the southern half of Alabama, where moisture will be in better
supply; any showers up this way Saturday or Sunday should be very
isolated.

WATCHING THE GULF: The cold front that brought cooler and drier air
to the Deep South this past weekend is parked over North Florida and
the Gulf of Mexico, and sometimes fronts like that can be a breeding
ground for tropical storms. We note that thunderstorms have been
increasing in this old frontal zone just east of Florida during the
last 24 hours, and there is some chance a tropical depression could
form in that area today (just east of Jacksonville and Daytona
Beach). If this happens, it will be forced westward by a ridge to the
north of the system, and it should emerge into the eastern Gulf of
Mexico later in the week. We believe that system will continue moving
to the west, remaining south of the Alabama and Northwest Florida
coast, with a possible landfall along the coast of Texas at some
point over the weekend. Of course, when you have a tropical system
involved you have to be ready for quick forecast changes, but at this
time we don't expect it to be a factor for Alabama. If this does
become a tropical storm, the name will be Jerry.

LONG RANGE: Looking out into voodoo land, the medium range guidance
keeps the really chilly air trapped over Canada, and it looks like
temperatures around here will be near, or maybe a little above normal
for the rest of September and into the first few days of October. We
should note our average high drops to 80 degrees by September 30,
with an average low of 58. By Halloween, our average high is only 70,
and the average low is 46. The golden days of fall are not too far away.

RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham's rain total for the year is 23.52"; we got a
nice boost from Humberto late last week, but that is still 16.41"
below normal for the year. 20.85 inches is the total rain for
Huntsville so far this year as of today. That still makes it the
driest year ever recorded from January 1 through September 17.

ROAMING FAR AND WIDE: Flagstaff, Arizona was soaked with 1.04" of
rain yesterday; their high was only 66 degrees, and temperatures
there will drop into the mid to upper 30s the next few nights. It was
a cold and wet day yesterday in Juneau, Alaska; the high was only 49
degrees with a rain total of 1.43".

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 6-12

WEDNESDAY
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 85
WIND: E 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 86
WIND: E 7-14

FRIDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 87
WIND: E 7-14

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. A shower possible, mainly south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
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7:30pm Just for Laughs
8:00pm Elvis: Via Las Legas
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Nightline

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