ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday September 6, 2007
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...Hot and Hazy; Just A Few Showers...

HURRICANE THREAT FOR THE EAST COAST: The eyes of the weather world
will be shifting to the Atlantic during the next 5 to 7 days as a
hurricane threat looms for the Atlantic coast of the U.S. A
disturbance, now about 350 miles or so southwest of the island of
Bermuda, is forecast to slowly acquire tropical characteristics today
with a general west/northwest motion. The system is expected to
become Tropical Storm Gabrielle during the next 48 hours as it moves
over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. A blend of the best computer
model data suggests a threat to the coast of the Carolinas over the
weekend; the highest landfall probabilities run from north of
Charleston northward to Cape Hatteras. Needless to say, it is
impossible at this early stage of the game to be very specific, but
this has the potential to become a formidable hurricane by the time
it reaches land. We should also mention there is a chance that
Gabrielle will recurve before making landfall; we will be watching
closely in coming days.

WHAT ABOUT ALABAMA? If there is a significant hurricane on the coast
of the Carolinas over the weekend, it would actually keep Alabama
mostly dry as we would be in the subsiding (sinking) air that is
found around the periphery of a tropical cyclone. Even if you
discount any subsidence from a tropical system, it now looks like the
deepest moisture feed today through the weekend will remain a little
west of Alabama, so it looks like afternoon showers and thunderstorms
will remain rather widely spaced during the next four days. The
chance of any one spot getting wet today and tomorrow is only about
one in six. Afternoon temperatures will continue to run a little
above normal for early September, with daily highs in the 89 to 94
degree range.
For high school football games tonight and tomorrow night, we can't
rule out the chance of a shower, but most stadiums will be rain-free,
with kickoff temperatures in the low to mid 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Fall weather fans will be glad to know the coolest air so
far this young season (we consider meteorological fall September,
October, and November) will move into the plains states next week,
with freezing temperatures possible over parts of the Dakotas and
Minnesota by mid-week. The edge of that airmass will try to creep
into Alabama during the latter half of next week; if that happens
some North Alabama communities might dip into the 50s.

ACROSS THE FRUITED PLAIN: Moisture from Tropical Storm Henriette,
which moved northward through the Gulf of California yesterday, will
move up in eastern Arizona, New Mexico, and the western part of Texas
today with potential for heavy rain in spots. Yesterday's high in
Boise, Idaho was a refreshing 69 degrees. It was a wet day for
Arkansas; Little Rock was soaked with 2.33" during the day. To the
east along I-40, the rain was much lighter in Memphis where the total
was only 0.15".

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Hot and hazy with only isolated afternoon showers.
Afternoon High 92
WIND: SE 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Afternoon showers and storms will be widely scattered.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 92
WIND: S 5-10

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Just a few widely scattered showers or storms
during the afternoon.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers and storms are possible.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 6-12

MONDAY
Occasionally cloudy with a passing shower or storm in a few spots.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel Of Fortune
7:00pm Ugly Betty
8:00pm Grey's Anatomy
9:00pm Men In Trees
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
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