ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday September 10, 2007
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...Fall Is Ahead...

Looking over the proverbial weather horizon, we see some truly fall
like air that might very well be in our future here in Alabama after
next weekend. We have been longing for such a thing through all of
this summer's heat. We might also see some enhanced rain chances as
we head through the coming week. Let's talk about it.

OUR FORECAST: First, we need rain. We have been hoping it would
come in nice quantities Tuesday and Wednesday. To get that, we need
some tropical moisture to work in here from the Gulf ahead of an
approaching front. Now the front seems to be on track, but the
moisture doesn't. So we will call for a chance of showers and storms
on Tuesday as the front approaches and again on Wednesday and
Thursday as the front stalls in the area. It looks like a little
drier air could work into the area on Friday, at least enough to push
the showers mainly to our east. As another big trough works it way
across the country, a real live fall-like cold front will arrive over
the weekend, potentially giving us highs in the 70s and lows in the
50s. Keep your fingers crossed.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Gabrielle is heading out over the open
Atlantic after paying a short visit to eastern North Carolina on
Sunday. Gabrielle is located about 150 miles east of the North
Carolina/Virginia border this morning. The storm will continue
moving northeast out to sea over the next few days. The eastern
Atlantic is becoming more active and a couple of tropical depressions
could form between Africa and the Caribbean Islands this week. But
the good news is that the tropical cyclones will take advantage of a
weakness in the Bermuda Ridge and take a shortcut to the northern
Atlantic. Finally, closer to home, a weak low over the southern Gulf
of Mexico is undergoing a tremendous amount of shear. That is
expected to weaken tonight, but it does not look like a tropical
cyclone will develop from this system.

REMEMBERING FREDERIC: On this date in 1979, Frederic had emerged
into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and was heading slowly west
northwest. The storm was strengthening all the while and would
become a hurricane later in the day. Frederic made landfall on the
evening of the 12th near the Alabama/Mississippi border as a category
three hurricane with sustained winds of 135 mph. Damage along the
Alabama coast was severe with a twelve foot storm surge inundating
Gulf Shores and doing much of the damage. .

ON THIS DATE IN 1961: As the center of intense Hurricane Carla
approached Texas on the 10th, winds near the center were estimated at
150 mph. Reconnaissance aircraft indicated a central pressure of 931
millibars just prior to its striking the coast. Only 46 lost their
lives because of early warnings. Severe damage along a wide expanse
of the Texas coast was caused by unusually prolonged winds, high
tides and flooding from torrential rains. Damage was about $2 billion
in 1990 dollars.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly cloudy and very warm. Isolated storm northern sections. .
Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms develop.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SW 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Chance of showers and storms mainly eastern sections.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 87
WIND: NW 5-10

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 86
WIND: N 5-10

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