ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday August 24, 2007
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...Heat Levels Will Slowly Back off...
UNDER 100 TODAY? We are going to forecast a high of 98 degrees today,
which is seven degrees "cooler" than yesterday's high of 105 in
Birmingham. While a few spots might touch 100 degrees, we believe
that most communities will remain under 100 for a change thanks to a
weakening upper air high overhead, and an influx of moisture from the
east. The heat will continue to slow back down over the weekend, with
highs in the mid 90s tomorrow and Sunday.

With the increase in moisture will come an increase in the chance of
showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours
during the next few days. But, the storms will remain scattered, so
rain distribution will be very uneven. If you are lucky enough to get
under a heavy downpour, you might see one-half to one inch of rain.
Any storm that forms this afternoon will also have the potential for
wet microbursts, local areas of strong winds that can cause some
damage. And, the lighting will be vivid, frequent, and dangerous.

NEXT WEEK: At this point we are expecting highs to be in the 90 to 95
degree range for the first half of next week, with the daily chance
of scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours. An
approaching cold front should bring an increase in the number and
coverage of showers and storms toward the end of the week on Thursday
and Friday.

LONG RANGE: A transition to a more autumn-like weather pattern is
expected in the September 5-12 time frame as an upper air trough
forms over the eastern third of North America. This pattern would
favor our first decent frontal passage in quite some time, followed
by cooler and drier Canadian air. Many Alabamians have been waiting
for this through the long, hot summer of 2007.

AIR QUALITY ALERT: A code orange air quality alert remains in effect
for the Birmingham metro area (Jefferson and Shelby Counties) today,
meaning air quality is expected to be unhealthful for sensitive
groups, like people with asthma.

HOTTEST/DRIEST MONTH ON RECORD? This could turn out to be the hottest
month on record for Birmingham, and many other cities in Alabama. Of
course, we won't have the final statistics for seven more days, but
as of today the average high this month is 99.95 degrees, and the
average low 75.43. We have dealt with temperatures of 100 degrees or
higher on 14 days; that beats the old record of 12 100 degree days
set in September 1925. The rain total all month in Birmingham is only
0.25"; currently the driest August on record was in 1989 when the
total was only 0.38". Hopefully the expected showers and storms in
coming days will keep this from being our driest August on record. We
should note that during the entire month of October in 1924 there was
no measurable rain in Birmingham; that is a record that will never be
broken (but it can be tied)!.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny. Not quite as hot as recent days, and a few widely
scattered afternoon storms are possible.
Afternoon High 98
WIND: SE 5-10

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. A chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms
by afternoon.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 96
WIND: N 5-10

SUNDAY
Warm and humid with scattered showers and storms, mainly during the
afternoon.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 94
WIND: E 5-10

MONDAY
Intervals of sunshine. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SE 6-12

TUESDAY
Scattered, mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 6-12

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