ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday August 18, 2007
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...Watching Dean...

The hurricane is the Caribbean will be one for the record books. Dean
became a Category Four storm early last evening, with the central
pressure dropping like a rock as the storms around the circulation fed
on the warm waters of the Caribbean. By the time that you read this,
Dean may well be a Category Five storm. It is only a matter of time.
The hurricane will brush the island of Hispaniola today. Jamaica
may well feel the full brunt of the hurricane on Sunday. Jamaica has
had its share of hurricanes. Ivan gave the island a glancing blow in
2004, and still killed 17 people. Gilbert in 1988 scored a direct hit
on the island as a Category Three storm, and killed 45. We will then
worry about the Cayman Islands, which were hard hit by Ivan when it
was a Category Five storm. Next up will be the Yucatan and then its
into the Gulf of Mexico. Our problem will be to figure out where it
goes then.

A NEW STREAK? Birmingham's longest streak of consecutive 100 degree
days came to an end yesterday as morning clouds and showers in the
vicinity kept the mercury in double digits. Still, the mercury made a
valiant run at it during the afternoon, but fell short with a high of
98F. Thunderstorms were fairly numerous across the area during the
afternoon, but rainfall amounts were not impressive. Several sites
did make it to 100F yesterday, including Huntsville at 102F, Pinson at
100F and Tuscaloosa at 102F. It just goes to show that the airmass
over Alabama is still capable of producing triple digit heat. We
could start another streak today, as we will call for a high of 100F.
But it should be shortlived.

OUR FORECAST: The intensity of the ridge will diminish just a tad as
we head into the coming week. But make no bones about it, there is
enough kick left in the ridge to keep us mainly dry and very hot
through the next several days. And temperatures will soar into the
upper 90s. It will still be hot. It will be very, very humid. The
combination will spell heat indices that flirt with the danger level.
It will be hazy. And there will be isolated afternoon and evening
storms. The ridge should break down a bit by the end of the week,
allowing for an increase in showers and storms, but don't look now.
The ridge will be back by the following week, meaning more hot and dry
weather. .

ON THIS DATE IN 1969: Hurricane Debbie was seeded by Project
Stormfury as the storm was east of Puerto Rico. After the seeding,
the winds in the hurricane dropped from 110 mph to 80 mph. The
dramatic headlines from Hurricane Camille's devastating blow to the
Mississippi Coast led to hopes that Project Stormfury could reduce the
damage caused by hurricanes. Later analysis would be inconclusive as
to whether the 30% reduction in winds was a result of the seeding or
occurred naturally. But the project would continue for a few more
years.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny, hot and humid. A few isolated PM storms.
Afternoon High 100
WIND: SE 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy, hot and humid. A small chance of an afternoon storm.
Morning Low 78 Afternoon High 99
WIND: S 6-12

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of a passing storm. .
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 97
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy and very hot. Only isolated storms.
Morning Low 76 Afternoon High 99
WIND: S 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy, hot and humid. A slight chance of a storm.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 98
WIND: S 5-10

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