ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday August 16, 2007
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...Hottest August Weather On Record...

TOO HOT: Yesterday was the hottest August day on record for many
Alabama cities. Birmingham's official high was 105, a new record high
for the month of August, and within two degrees of the all time high
of 107, set on July 29, 1930. It was also the ninth consecutive day of
triple digit heat, another record. Up in Northwest Alabama, the high
in Muscle Shoals was 107 degrees, within one degree of their all time
high of 108, last set on August 8, 1930. The high in Tuscaloosa was
106, while Anniston peaked at 104. Once again, about the only good
news yesterday was that humidity values were very low during the peak
of the heat. Many communities were reporting relative humidity values
between 15 and 19 percent during the mid-afternoon hours, so heat
index was not an issue, thankfully.

BACK INTO THE OVEN: Alabama will sizzle again today underneath a
relentless upper air high, and above a very dry topsoil layer. Most
places will rise back into the 100 to 106 degree range this afternoon.
Dewpoints should be slightly higher today, so actual observed highs
might be a degree or two "cooler", but heat index levels will rise. It
is not out of the question that a few isolated storms might show up
this afternoon, but for now the chance of any one spot getting wet is
so small we won't mention it in our formal forecast.

THE DAYS AHEAD: Heat levels will every so slowly drop over the weekend
and next week as the upper air high breaks down. Slightly cooler air
aloft will mean the chance of widely scattered afternoon showers and
storms tomorrow through the weekend, but unfortunately we won't expect
any really widespread rain for the next five days.

A PAIR OF TROPICAL STORMS: Tropical storm Erin is moving into the
lower Texas coast this morning with lots of heavy rain. Flooding is
possible all the way from Brownsville to Galveston, and westward
across the Rio Grande valley.

Out in the Atlantic, it sure looks like Dean will become a hurricane
at some point during the next 24
hours. The system is about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, and
is moving steadily to the west at around 20 mph. The models continue
to shift the track of Dean to the left, and it now look like the
system will pass through the Leeward Islands, and move through the
Caribbean south of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. The official NHC track
has Dean positioned south of the western tip of Cuba by Monday night
of next week as a major hurricane, packing sustained winds of 135 mph.
Many of the models keep Dean moving westward, across Mexico's Yucatan
peninsula, the Bay of Campeche, and into the Mexican Gulf coast well
south of Brownville, Texas late next week. But, we caution this is
still very early in the game, and major changes in that solution are
possible in coming days. All interests around the Gulf coast need to
watch Dean.

OTHER HOT SPOTS: Greenwood, Mississippi soared to 106 degrees
yesterday, while Little Rock and Nashville reached 104. St. Louis is
also in the heat parade with 105.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
The heat wave rolls along. Mostly sunny.
Afternoon High 103
WIND: W 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly to mostly sunny and hot. Isolated afternoon storms.
Morning Low 76 Afternoon High 101
WIND: NW 5-10

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of widely scattered, mainly afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 76 Afternoon High 100
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Sunny during the morning. A few scattered storms by afternoon.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 98
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. A passing afternoon thunderstorm in a few spots.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 97
WIND: SW 5-10

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