ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday August 15, 2007
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...A Big Record Should Fall Today...

NINE IN A ROW: Yesterday's official high in Birmingham was 104
degrees. It was the hottest day in the Magic City since July 17, 1980,
when the mercury hit 105. It was also the eight consecutive day of 100
degree heat for Birmingham, which ties a record set during that big
heat wave in 1980. About the only positive news yesterday was that
relative humidity values were very low during the peak of the heat,
making it a little more tolerable. For example, the humidity in
Tuscaloosa at mid-afternoon was only 19 percent as the temperature
hovered about 105 degrees. This is the kind of heat you find in the
Desert Southwest (a "dry heat" as people out there say).

The triple digit longevity record will be shattered today as
temperatures will soar again; most spots will find a high this
afternoon somewhere between 100 and 106 degrees, almost 15 degrees
above normal for August 15. The warm aloft associated with the upper
air ridge also means another dry day; Birmingham's rain deficit for
the year is now up to 20.45".

The blast furnace weather will continue through Friday, but as the
upper ridge begins to finally break down, we expect afternoon highs to
drop into the mid to upper 90s late this weekend and early next week.
Unfortunately, there is still no sign of a major rain event here
during the next 10 days, although a few isolated afternoon showers and
storms could show up by Sunday and Monday.

TOPIC: TROPICS: Tropical depression five in the southern Gulf of
Mexico is moving toward the southern tip of Texas; there is still a
chance it could become a tropical storm by the time it reaches land
tonight. The main problem one way or another will be heavy rain and
the potential for flooding along the middle and southern Texas coast.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Texas coast from Freeport
southward, and for the northern Mexican coast as well.
And, out in the Central Atlantic, tropical storm Dean is moving
steadily to the west. The official forecast track from the National
Hurricane Center has been pulled a bit to the left; computer model
guidance now keeps a stronger ridge north of the system, and it
appears Dean could be close to Hispaniola by Saturday night as a very
significant hurricane. On this track, Dean most likely would enter the
Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday of next week. But, there has been a huge
spread among the global forecast models, with solutions ranging from
the northern coast of Mexico to New England. Needless to say, there is
plenty of uncertainty at this stage of the game, but there is a very
real chance it will impact some section of the U.S. coast toward the
end of next week. We will be watching closely.

AIR QUALITY ALERT: We should mention a code orange air quality alert
remains in effect for Jefferson and Shelby counties today; that
certainly makes sense with this hot, stagnant air overhead. This alert
means air quality in the Birmingham metro area could be unhealthful
for sensitive groups, like people with asthma.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A good supply of sunshine. Another afternoon of triple digit heat.
Afternoon High 103
WIND: NW 5-10

THURSDAY
Lots of sun with blazing heat.
Morning Low 76 Afternoon High 103
WIND: NW 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly to mostly sunny and hot.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 101
WIND: SW 5-10

SATURDAY
Still hot and dry. A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 100
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of widely scattered, afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 75 Afternoon High 98
WIND: SW 5-10

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