ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday July 13, 2007

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WE NEED A LOT MORE RAIN: We have been sitting around with smiles on
our faces watching rain occur time and time again and slowly working
on our enormous drought problem. Despite all that, the rain deficit
is as large as we have seen in many, many years and it will take a
lot more rain events to even bring it close to normal. I still say,
when we say happy New Year next January, we will still be showing a
rain shortage. Our best hope will be to have a couple of tropical
depressions form in the Gulf of Mexico this hurricane season and move
ashore and slowly move toward the north. A tropical depression can
almost produce as much rain as a tropical storm or hurricane. The big
downside to that is that everybody along the Gulf Coast will get
extremely nervous for even a depression to form. They would fear
another possible Katrina. As bad as the drought is, it does not
compare with a Katrina or Ivan or Camille.

It is encouraging to note that the latest report from the U.S.
Drought Monitor shows that the Exceptional Drought area in Alabama
has shrunk because of the recent rains. Last week it extended all the
way down to Livingston, Marion, Clanton and Talladega. It now only
goes as far south as the north part of Shelby and Talladega Counties.

THE NEAR FUTURE FOR ALABAMA: Still looks like some showers and
thunderstorms every day for at least the next 5 to 7 days. We may not
get as many of the big boomers that last late into the night, as we
have had recently. At least we will get scattered coverage, however,
and every little bit helps. A nice group of showers moved across
North and Central Alabama today and, by early afternoon, Fayette had
received 0.46 rain, SW Trussville had 0.71 and Birmingham Airport
nearly ½ inch. There is a big glob of showers and thunderstorms over
South Arkansas and North Louisiana. I do not like the way those are
moving more toward the SE.

TROPICAL WEATHER: No tropical development in the Atlantic for the
next few days. However, there was a tropical wave just east of the
Cape Verde Islands way, way out in the Atlantic with a fairly large
signature on satellite. Conditions are not favorable for it to do
much. Meanwhile, over in the West Pacific, Man-Yi moved over part of
Okinawa last night and was over open water between Okinawa and the
southwest-most island of Japan. It was producing 42-foot waves. It
should skirt the south coast of Japan and pass very near Tokyo very
early Sunday. By then, winds are projected to be down to 70 mph and
gusts to 85.

WEEKEND AT THE BEACH: Scattered showers and thunderstorms every day.
Probably the better day for getting rain is Saturday and Sunday. They
should thin out Monday. Highs 89 to 91.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Little Miss Molly loves to walk in wet
grass and light rain, but when the rain gets heavier, like it did on
our walk this morning, she did a 180, came close to jerking me off my
feet and headed home at breakneck speed—seemed like over 40 mph. She
immediately started to use the carpet to dry herself off. Still a lot
of mushrooms out there. Kay Mundy, a long-time reader from Anniston,
reminded us that she knew of a dog that had died recently from eating
a mushroom. They gave the dog hydrogen peroxide, but it was too late.
Beware of the mushrooms! I am glad that Kay reminded us that they
can, for sure, be dangerous. Life goes on, even with all the
pitfalls.....

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

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TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms,
continuing through the evening.
Overnight Low 70
WIND: Light

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly afternoon
and early evening.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon 88
WIND: W 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny, warm and humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mostly afternoon, storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
A hotter afternoon. Scattered, mostly afternoon, thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10

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