ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday July 7, 2007
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An unusual thing for July on this Saturday. A slow moving upper level
low over Mississippi is moving east and weakening with time. Ahead of
the low, a large area of light to moderate and sometimes briefly heavy
rain spread across the state during the morning hours. Rainfall
amounts have been generally light, aorund one half inch. But over
western Alabama, radar estimates indicate that a large area of three
quarter inch amounts occurred over Pickens, Tuscaloosa, SW Fayette and
Lamar Counties. Embedded in this area, an area of at least one inch
amounts covered southwestern Lamar County and much of Pickens County.
These amounts will grow into the afternoon, although the main rain
area seems to be shrinking with time.

Back in Mississippi, radar estimates show that some general amounts
over two inches occurred in the Starkville, West Point and Columbus
areas. Columbus AFB received 2.16 inches between midnight and 11 a.m.

SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON: Areas south of Birmingham and
Tuscaloosa could see severe weather this afternoon, from southern
Sumter through southern Greene, Hale, Perry and into SW Chilton County
and points south. There is the possibility of a few brief tornadoes.

MOVING AHEAD: The low will track across North Central Alabama through
the evening hours. As the low passes, the precipitation will mostly
come to an end, although there could be a few showers overnight.
Moisture levels will not change with the passage of the low, which
will be key to the forecast.

Look for fog to form overnight, with high humidity, widespread wet
ground, light winds and clearing skies. That patchy fog will burn
off early on Sunday, leaving mostly sunny skies across the area. With
good low level moisture, widely scattered thunderstorms will form with
the heating of the day on Sunday, but coverage will be around 30-40
percent. Skies should clear Sunday night.

THE WEEK AHEAD: We evolve into a fairly typical summertime pattern
by Monday, and stay with it until midweek, with scattered showers and
thunderstorms developing during the late morning and afternoon hours,
diminishing during the evenings. Temperatures will be near normal,
with highs in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s. It looks
like things will change for the better again by Thursday, as a deep
trough of low pressure builds over the eastern United States. This
trough will allow an unusual July cool front dawdling down into the
area, accompanied by enhanced chances for showers and thunderstorms.
It looks like the best chances for North Central Alabama will come on
Friday, although the front could waver back and forth into the
weekend, keeping good rain chances nearby. We stay in a moist
summertime pattern into the following week, the week of the 16th also.

VOODOO LAND: As we slide past next weekend, it looks like the
Bermuda High will take up a position more near its namesake island
rather than hanging around just off the East Coast. We should see a
moist pattern with scattered PM storms each day.

TROPICS: The tropical Atlantic is relatively quiet. An area of
disturbed weather off the East Cost shows no signs of development.
Thunderstorm activity associated with the tropical wave approaching
the Lesser Antilles has dissipated.

ON THIS DATE IN 1984: A 90 foot excursion boat carrying employees of
the SCI Corporation on an outing capsized during a severe thunderstorm
on the Tennessee River near Huntsville, AL, killing 11. The disaster
was caused by a microburst. Microbursts are usually associated with
airplane crashes, but they can overturn boats also.

ON THIS DATE IN 1987: Today's Weather History note relates to a town
that has been in the news a lot this year, after being virtually
destroyed by the first category 5 tornado since 1999, and the first
tornado to be rated as an EF5 on the new Enhanced Fujita scale. But
on this date back in 1987, some weird weather was noted at Greensburg
KS. The temperature was 75 degrees at 7am, soared to 95 degrees at
few minutes later and back to 86 by 8am. Dust devils and strange
clouds reportedly accompanied this strange fluctuation in temperature.
It likely was a heat burst, where rapidly sinking air from a dying
thunderstorm heated by compression, resulting in the rise in
temperature.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Periods of rain. Storms south of Birmingham could be severe.
Overnight Low 76
WIND: SE 6-12

SUNDAY
Fog, low clouds to start. Then partly cloudy with a chance of showers/storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 88
WIND: NW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny with scattered, mostly afternoon, thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

TUESDAY
Parlty cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Hot and humid with scattered afternoon storms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 94
WIND: SW 6-12

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