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Saturday, July 28, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday July 28, 2007
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===================================================================

...Rain Chances Increase Today...

No rain in the rain bucket at the Birmingham International Airport
during the past seven days, pushing our rainfall deficit back over
eighteen inches. Some areas have received some beneficial rains this
past week, but it has been a hit or miss proposition. Hopefully that
will change over the next three days as an approaching front will
bring some decent average rainfall amounts across the area.

WEEKEND: We will call for increasing chances for showers and storms
today across the area as the front sags our way. There will be an
even better chance tomorrow. The front should be moving through the
area late Sunday night through Monday morning. If it is on this
timetable, it will mean a few showers Monday morning, but most of the
rain should be into South Central Alabama Monday afternoon. But,
summertime fronts in the Deep South are on time about as much as
passenger trains, so it could still be north of us by Monday
afternoon, meaning another wet afternoon. That would be fine with us.

THE WEEK AHEAD: We are fairly confident that the front will be
south of us by Tuesday, meaning that showers and storms will be likely
across southern sections, but Central and North Alabama should be
shower free. The GFS keeps us in a dry situation through the
remainder of the week. Ruling out even isolated daily afternoon and
evening storms is hard to do in Alabama in the summer, but we will
keep it mainly dry and seasonably hot through Friday. Highs will be
in the lower to perhaps middle 90s. Lows will be right around 70
degrees.

THE TROPICS: The weak surface low over the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico moved onto the Texas coast yesterday. While it did not develop
tropically, it has still been producing some significant rainfall
amounts over Texas and Louisiana. The heaviest rainfall today will be
over the southern Parishes of Louisiana, where up to about two inches
is expected to fall around Lafayette. We will turn our eyes to the
eastern Atlantic by late in the week, where there have been some hints
that we might see some development by the end of the week.

ON THIS DATE TWO YEARS AGO: A significant tornado struck Birmingham,
England during the afternoon. The tornado, one of the strongest to
ever hit Great Britain, injured twenty three people, including three
critically. Other tornadoes touched down in Peterborough. On
average, thirty three tornadoes occur each year in the United Kingdom.
They are generally less destructive than their American cousins. The
Birmingham tornado had winds estimated at 130 mph, ranking it as a
four on TORRO's one to ten tornado scale. This corresponds to a
strong tornado and makes this twister one of the strongest to ever hit
England.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly afternoon and evening.
Afternoon High 91
WIND: W 6-12

SUNDAY
A good chance of showers and thunderstorms, more numerous in the afternoon.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 88
WIND: W 7-14

MONDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. A slight chance of a thunderstorm, mostly south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 92
WIND: N 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel
7:00pm The Princess
Diaries 2
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm 24

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