ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday July 27, 2007
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...Hot, Hazy Summer Weather...

Weather changes are often slow and rather subtle in late July, but we
will have some day to day change during the next seven days. For
today, it looks like the showers and storms that form this afternoon
will be relatively widely spaced thanks to warmer air aloft, making
the air a little more stable. The chance of any one spot getting wet
today is about one in five. And, with the increased sunshine, we
figure most communities will reach the low 90s this afternoon.

OUR WEEKEND: A general increase in the number of showers and
thunderstorms is likely over the weekend as a surface front approaches
the state from the north. We expect scattered showers and
thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night, but the best
coverage of showers and storms should come on Sunday. Rainfall over
the weekend should average about one inch for the northern half of
Alabama, but some spots could see more with the stronger
thunderstorms.

NEXT WEEK: Drier air will begin to drop into North Alabama Sunday
night as a surface low
pressure center deepens northeast of the state. At this time it looks
like the best chance of showers and storms on Monday will be south of
I-20, and by Tuesday most of the state should be dry and less humid.
The chance of rain on Wednesday looks small as well, but with
returning moisture a few scattered afternoon showers and storms could
show up during the end of the week.

TROPICS: There is a huge mass of disturbed weather over the western
Gulf of Mexico, but upper air winds don't favor any surface
organization, and tropical storm formation in that region is not
likely. However, all of that moisture will bring locally heavy rain to
the coasts of Texas and Louisiana during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere
in the Atlantic basin, there are scattered tropical waves, but no sign
of anything really organized. In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm
Dalila is packing sustained winds of 45 mph, and is moving to the
west/northwest over open water about 400 miles west of the southern
tip of Baja California. The system will slowly dissipate over the
weekend, but high altitude moisture will stream into the Southwest
U.S., enhancing the current monsoon there.

AT THE BEACH: A few showers and storms are likely along the Gulf coast
from Panama City westward to Gulf Shores through the weekend, but
there will be a few intervals of sunshine. Highs along the immediate
coast will range from 87 to 90, and the the SST (sea surface
temperature) last night at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab was 86 degrees.

TIDBITS: One of the heaviest rain totals in Alabama yesterday was from
Jemison, where 1.61" of rain fell from afternoon thunderstorms. In
Tennessee, Memphis was soaked with 1.43" of rain yesterday. The low
yesterday morning in South Lake Tahoe, California was a refreshing 40
degrees.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Hot and hazy with only isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 92
WIND: W 6-12

SATURDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. Afternoon showers and storms in scattered spots.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: W 6-12

SUNDAY
Cloudy at times. A good chance of showers and thunderstorms by afternoon.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 6-12

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms, especially south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: N 6-12

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny and less humid.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 92
WIND: N 5-10

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