ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday July 21, 2007
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...Refreshing For July...

It's not often that we get to talk about low temperatures near 60
degrees in July, but with some drier air moving in across the area; it
will be a possibility tonight. In fact, some northern locations will
drop into the upper 50s. On average tonight, we will be some 7-9
degrees below normal with lows averaging around 62F. The record low
for July 22nd is 55F. For July 23rd, it is 52F. The coolest July
reading ever in the Magic City is 51F on July 15, 1967.

JUST HOW RARE: Dusting off the record books, let's look back and see
just how rare cool nights are in July. At Birmingham, consistent
weather records go back to 1895. During the time periods 1895-2007,
we have seen a low of 62 or cooler some 127 times. That sounds like
it would be a fairly common occurrence, happening about once per year,
but really, it isn't. It has not happened since July 14, 2001. The
cool readings come in bunches during cool spells, happening three or
four times in a single month and not again for several years. Now,
readings in the 50s are even more rare. Only forty July mornings have
been below 60 degrees. The last time that happened was July 4, 1996.
The month of July 1967 was remarkably cool, with four mornings in the
50s. But even more amazing was July 1947, when six mornings were in
the fifties.

REST OF THE WEEKEND: Dry conditions will continue through tomorrow
with drier air in place over North and Central Alabama. Highs this
afternoon and tomorrow will be near normal, with highs right around 90
degrees.

CHANGES IN THE FORECAST: It is increasingly looking like the upper
low that will develop later today or tomorrow over the Mid-Atlantic
states will be a bigger player in our weather. The models try to
develop precipitation as early as tomorrow, but it will likely hold
off until Monday. As the low retrogrades, or moves backwards into the
Ohio Valley, we will see scattered showers and thunderstorms
developing across the state. Moisture levels really spike by the end
of the week and a surface low will develop to our northwest. This
will give us fairly numerous showers and thunderstorms in the Friday
and Saturday time frame.

TROPICS: Conditions are becoming a little more favorable for the
tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles to undergo some
development. We will also watch for development off the coast of the
Carolinas as our front moves offshore later today.

ON THIS DATE IN 1987: Highest elevation F4 tornado ever observed
crossed the Continental Divide as it cut a twenty-four mile path
through the Teton Wilderness on the south side of Yellowstone National
Park. At one point, damage path was 2 miles wide. 15,000 acres of
trees were blown down. Many of the trees were mature 80-100 foot pine
trees. Some of the damage may not have been from a tornado.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly clear and comfortable.
Overnight Low 62
WIND: Light

SUNDAY
A sunny start, then becoming partly cloudy.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NE 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers, maybe a storm, especially east.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 6-12

TUESDAY
Partial sunshine. A chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 6-12

WEDNESDAY
A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 88
WIND: S 6-12

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