ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday July 25, 2007
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...Sun and Storms...

This is a new day, but we have an old forecast this morning. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will form again today across the state, and
while the most numerous showers and storms will come during the
afternoon and evening hours, a morning shower is not out of the
question. The chance of any one neighborhood getting wet today is
about one in three, and like recent days, the stronger storms will
produce heavy rain and lots of lightning. Away from the showers and
storms, we will see some decent intervals of sunshine, and the high
today should be in the 87 to 91 degree range for most spots.

We really don't expect much day to day change through the weekend,
with the daily mix of summer sun and storms. The placement and
coverage of the showers and storms will change every day, but trying
to identify those changes is almost impossible due the small features
that bring about those changes. We will just have to broad brush the
forecast with "scattered, mainly afternoon showers and storms" for the
next five to seven days. Nothing uncommon for mid-summer in Alabama.

PEAK OF THE SUMMER HEAT: Based on averages since weather data has been
collected in Birmingham (good data starts in the 1880s here), we are
now in the hottest part of a normal summer. The average high is 91,
and the average low is 70 from July 13 through August 10. We can be
thankful that temperatures this week are running a little below normal
because it can be very hot this time of the year. In the summer of
1952, new record highs were reached six days in a row (from July 23
through July 28) with triple digit heat on all of those days. The
hottest day was July 25, 1952 when the high in Birmingham was 106
degrees.

TROPICS: We are getting very close to the time of summer when we
typically see an increase in tropical activity across the Atlantic
basin; the peak of the season comes during August, September, and the
first half of October. For now, the waves across the Atlantic are
relatively disorganized, and tropical storm formation is not expected
through mid-week.

AT THE BEACH: About six to eight hours of sunshine daily along the
Gulf coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the coming weekend
with the chance of one or two passing showers or thunderstorms each
day.

MORE SUMMER SOAKERS: While showers and storms were more widely spaced
across Alabama yesterday, NEXRAD estimates suggested almost two inches
of rain over parts of northern Jefferson and Walker Counties last
night.

ROAMING FAR AND WIDE: Jacksonville, Florida was soaked with 2.32" of
rain yesterday. Monsoon moisture continues to increase over the
Southwest U.S.; the Sonora Desert Museum in Tucson measured .74"
yesterday. The hottest spot in the nation was Death Valley, California
with 117 degrees.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mainly afternoon showers or storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mainly afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 6-12

SATURDAY
More clouds than sun. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
A passing shower or storm in a few spots. Partly sunny.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: W 6-12

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