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Friday, July 13, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday July 13, 2007
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...Showers and Storms Return...

It was almost impossible to find a decent shower across Alabama
yesterday, but moist air has returned this morning, and we will bring
a good chance of showers and thunderstorms back into the forecast
thanks to an upper air system west of the state. While we sure can't
rule out a few morning showers, the bulk of the showers and storms
will come this afternoon and this evening, when the air is most
unstable. The heavier storms will produce lots of lightning, and will
have the potential to produce localized areas of strong wind.

THE WEEKEND: The moist air is going nowhere, and with a weak
disturbance just to the west and a surface front to the north we will
maintain a good chance of scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms tomorrow and Sunday. While the sun will peek out at
times, the sky will be generally cloudy this weekend with afternoon
highs in the 87 to 91 degree range. Average rainfall totals between
now and Sunday night will be in the one to two inch range, but some
neighborhoods might get more.

NEXT WEEK: At this point it looks like the weather next week will
feature some typical mid-summer weather, with hot humid days and the
daily chance of a passing afternoon shower or storm in a few spots.
Afternoon highs will be close to normal levels for mid-July, mostly in
the low 90s. There might be a few days with enhanced coverage of
showers and storms, but there isn't much skill in trying to identify
those days so far in advance.

WE STILL NEED RAIN: Rain deficits for the year include 17.95" at
Birmingham, 15.13" at Montgomery, 20.42" at Anniston, and 20.86" at
Tuscaloosa. Despite the recent rain, the majority of North-Central
Alabama soil remains very dry with soil moisture percentiles in the 10
percent or lower of normal range. The worst agricultural impacts are
especially being felt within the corn crops, with the USDA reporting
87 percent of the Alabama corn crop in poor, or very poor condition.
The fire danger remains high across much of Alabama.

SUPER TYPHOON: The storm called Man-Yi moved over Okinawa last night,
producing major flooding and wind damage. Sustained winds were near
140 mph at the time of landfall; Man-Yi is now moving toward the main
islands of Japan. It is currently predicted to come close to Kyushu
tomorrow morning before turning eastward and weakening, brushing close
to Tokyo on Monday.

AT THE BEACH: Expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine each day along the
coast through Sunday, with the daily chance of a few scattered showers
and storms. The high along the immediate coast will be in the 88 to 91
degree range.

ROAMING: Hottest spot in the nation yesterday was Death Valley, CA
with 118 degrees. Coldest spot yesterday morning was Burgess Junction,
WY with 37. Fort Smith, Arkansas was soaked with 1.18".

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Increasing clouds with a good chance of showers and storms by afternoon.
Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

SATURDAY
Occasionally cloudy with a good chance of showers or thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
Warm and humid with scattered to numerous showers and storms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 88
WIND: S 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered, mainly afternoon showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. An afternoon shower or storm in a few spots.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

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