ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday July 11, 2007
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...A Very Muggy Airmass Hangs Over Alabama...

Not much change in the Alabama weather situation for today; the
combination of abundant low level moisture and an upper air wave to
the west should bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms;
great news for a state where many communities are still 15 to 20
inches behind on rain for the year. Birmingham's rain deficit is now
17.68".

As usual, most of the showers and storms will come during the heat of
the afternoon when the air is most unstable, but we sure can't rule
out a few morning showers along old outflow boundaries from last
night's storms. Additional rain amounts of one-half inch are likely
during the next 12 hours, but some spots will see more from the
stronger storms. And, like yesterday, some of the storms could produce
some hail, and they have the potential for wet microbursts, small
areas of damaging straight line winds that occur for only a very brief
period of time. According to the
definition, damage from a wet microburst is in an area 2.5 miles in
diameter or smaller.

A DRY DAY TOMORROW: Drier air will flow into the northern half of
Alabama tonight, which rarely happens in July, but we will go ahead
and buy into this scenario and drop the chance of rain for tomorrow.
It should be a partly to mostly sunny day with a high in the low 90s,
along with lower humidity values. Any showers tomorrow should be
confined to the southern half of the state.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture will flow northward again tomorrow
night, and we will bring back the chance of scattered showers and
thunderstorms on Friday as another front approaches from the north.
Lots of debate on just how far this front will go, but for now I think
the safest forecast is to maintain a chance of scattered showers and
storms over the weekend. It could be that the best coverage of
thunderstorms on Saturday will be south of Birmingham, but moist air
will surge northward again by Saturday night and Sunday. Afternoon
highs over the weekend should be in the 89 to 93 degree range for most
communities, and as usual the best chance of a passing thunderstorm
will come during the afternoon and evening hours.

TUESDAY'S STORMS: Severe thunderstorms across Alabama yesterday downed
trees and power lines near Steele in St. Clair County, Linden in
Marengo County, and near White Hall in Lowndes County. Rain totals
included 1.15" at Ashville, 1.11" at Martin Dam, 1.05" in the
northeast part of Trussville at J.B. Elliott's place, .92" at Fort
Payne, and .87" at Black Creek, which is in the northeast part of
Etowah County between Gadsden and Collinsville. We note that the ABC
33/40 Weather Watcher in Morris, Joe Spears, reports no rain
yesterday, and only a trace since Saturday despite all of the active
showers and storms around the state.

EXTREMES: The hottest spot in the nation yesterday was Death Valley,
CA with 119 degrees. The coldest yesterday morning was 37 at
Deadhorse, Alaska and Stanley, Idaho.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly to mostly sunny.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NW 6-12

FRIDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 6-12

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A few spots could see a brief shower or storm,
especially south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 91
WIND: NW 6-12

SUNDAY
Scattered, mainly afternoon showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

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