ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday June 14, 2007

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DROUGHT EMERGENCY NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA: There is somewhat of a
paradox in the Alabama weather picture this afternoon. A drought
emergency continues for North and Central Alabama, as declared by
Governor Bob Riley. However, the Storm Prediction Center has
virtually all of Alabama under a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and tonight.

Just because we have that situation, it does not mean that the
storms will be widespread. Instead, a few individual storms could
become severe. There is probably about a 1 in 3 chance of your
location getting a decent shower or storm for the remainder of this
afternoon through the evening. As always, rain will be extremely
variable. If you are lucky to get under one of those storms, you
could get over ½ inch while your neighbors a few miles away may not
get anything.

THE DROUGHT SITUATION: According to the U. S. Drought Monitor
(which has become a household word around here), most of North and
part of Central Alabama are in the Exceptional drought category. This
is the worst of the five increments. Some sources say this a once in
a 50-year drought. Unfortunately, we do not see a widespread break in
the drought. In fact, the long range extended forecast shows little
chance of a complete turn around all through July. What is needed, of
course, are one or two tropical depressions to form in the Gulf of
Mexico and move inland. It is going to take a long time to get all of
the rain accounts back up to normal. This one statistic is as bad as
I have ever heard in my many years in weather. I am speaking of the
rain deficit for Huntsville, which is now over 50 inches since
January 2005. That is a full year's supply of rain that simply did
not happen.

THE REST OF THE STORY: After the thunderstorms this afternoon and
tonight, we expect only widely separated ones Friday. We may not even
see one on Saturday and Sunday should have more sunshine than clouds
and we have omitted any mention of a shower. They will also be very
scarce on Monday. The latest model run has backed off on the amount
of showers and storms for Tuesday and Wednesday. That was our shining
hope, however, it is still too early to give up hope, because the
next run may change again.

THE WORLD OF WEATHER: This is strictly a have and have not
situation. The Central Plains, parts of Texas and the Midwest have
received way too much rain and now parts of Florida are getting good
doses. Miami had over 1 inch yesterday, while Wichita and Lincoln had
over an inch. There was 1.71 inches at Sioux City, Iowa. Cool spot
this morning was Yellowstone Park with 33.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: My little pal gave up on me last night
and about 10:00 p.m. she had the biggest ballgame ever. Only thing,
she did it by herself. She grabs a ball and runs all over the house
at breakneck speed, throws it down, grabs another one and repeats.
She was exhausted after about 10 minutes. About 11:00, I played
another game with her and she was pooped......

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Widely scattered thunderstorms through the evening. An isolated
severe storm is possible.
Overnight Low 66
WIND: S 4-7

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Widely scattered, mostly afternoon, showers and
thunderstorms.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon 91
WIND: SE 5-10

SATURDAY
More sun than clouds. An isolated afternoon thunderstorm is possible.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny and hot.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Few, if any, afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 94
WIND: SW 6-12

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