ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday June 22, 2007
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...Hot Hot hot...

An upper level ridge over Alabama will keep things hot for the next
few days, with the century mark not out of the question for many
locations. The Gulf of Mexico is closed for business until at least
Saturday night, with a northwesterly flow aloft and a northerly
surface flow. Interestingly enough, that is when we can see some of
our hottest temperatures here in Alabama. Things begin to change a
bit by Saturday night with a return southerly flow and increasing
moisture levels.

AIR QUALITY AND FIRE CONCERNS: Ozone is a problem and high
concentrations have prompted a Code Orange Air Quality Alert again for
Friday. Sensitive individual should limit their outdoor activities.
Everyone can get involved by limiting automobile trips and avoiding
mowing their lawns on peak days. Also, low humidities and high
temperatures are combining with tinder dry vegetation to produce
significant fire concerns. Any fire that gets started could quickly
get out of control.

HOT AND DRY TODAY: Rain chances are just really nil today. There
could be an isolated storm tomorrow, but I stress the word isolated.
Look for mid 90s today and upper 90s on Saturday, when those 100
degree readings will not be hard to attain.

INTERESTING SCENARIO: Yesterday, the NWS Birmingham forecaster picked
up on an interesting scenario for Saturday. The intense heat tomorrow
could set up a heat low, something they see in the Desert Southwest,
where intense heating causes a weak surface low. This could set up a
southerly flow and allow the seabreeze front to come north by Saturday
evening, perhaps enhancing rain chances. Anyway, we continue to hope
for something in the way of showers Saturday night.

SUNDAY AND BEYOND: High pressure re-establishes itself over the
western Atlantic by late in the weekend, putting us in a broad
southerly flow again and increasing our moisture levels. That means
more humidity, but also the return of scattered afternoon and evening
showers and storms as we head into the coming week. Nothing that will
probably even keep up with our again growing rainfall deficits, but
perhaps providing some local and temporary relief. The GFS model is
still portraying a deep flow of tropical moisture into regions just
west of Alabama early next week. The hope is that this flow will
slide eastward with time, increasing our shower and storm chances.
That looks like a good chance for western sections on Monday and
overspreading the rest of the area Tuesday and Wednesday. We will
keep our fingers crossed.

ON THIS DATE IN 2003: The largest hailstone ever in U.S. history fell
near Aurora, Nebraska. The giant stone measured 18 3/4 inches in
circumference and seven inches in diameter. The stone surpassed the
famed 1970 stone that fell near Coffeyville, KS. The hail punched
twelve inch craters in lawns and volleyball sized holes in roofs
across the area.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny and hot.
Afternoon High 94
WIND: N 4-8

SATURDAY
Another hot day. Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. An isolated shower or thunderstorm possible.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 94
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly afternoon and evening.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
A better chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 88
WIND: S 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

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10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
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