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Saturday, June 16, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday June 16, 2007
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...Hot and Mainly Dry This Weekend...

Alabama has been under the influence of a weak trough of low pressure
in the upper atmosphere for the past two days, producing some
scattered showers and storms. Decent rainfall amounts have been
spotty, and even that will be coming to an end today and tomorrow as
we settle in for a typically hot and hazy Father's Day and City Stages
weekend.

WEEKEND WEATHER: Thunderstorms will be isolated at best across North
and Central Alabama today and tomorrow. That means the chance of
seeing rain at any one location is very small, less than one in five.
And any storms that do develop tend to be of the pulse variety. They
can form quickly, but rain themselves out quickly as well. That
means that no serious drought-busting rains are in the offing. It
will be hot today and Sunday, with afternoon highs topping out in the
lower to middle 90s for the most part, with a couple of upper 90s not
out of the question.

CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY ALERT: Jefferson and Shelby Counties will be
under a Code Orange Air Quality Alert today, and probably again on
Sunday thanks to Ozone. Expect the same tomorrow. This is your
excuse not to cut the grass this weekend, if it is growing at all
anyway, thanks to theā€¦

DROUGHT WARNING: Areas north of I-20 are now all classified as being
in a top of the line, exceptional drought situation. South of I-20 to
US-80, the classification is extreme, and south of US-80, it is
classified as a severe drought situation. Scattered showers over the
past couple of days have provided some light rainfall amounts, but
deficits are so severe that it s going to take extended wet periods to
overcome the past three years of dryness. Some locations have missed
an entire years worth of rain in the past three years.

MORE GOOD RAIN CHANCES? Our confidence in the forecast for early next
week is low due to some model flip flops of late, but it does appear
that a good old fashioned trough may bring our best chances for
widespread rain and storms in some time late on Tuesday into
Wednesday. Keep your fingers crossed.

TROPICS WATCH: An area of showers and thunderstorms over the
northwestern Caribbean continues to be disorganized, and prospects for
development are not good in the short run. But, as the disturbed
weather drifts northwest, conditions may become more favorable with
time. This is certainly a climatologically favored area for
development this time of year, so it will have to be watched.

ON THIS DATE IN 2003: Spelunkers at the Carter Caves near Hitchins,
Kentucky were surprised when a heavy two inch downpour sent a surge of
water 4-5 feet high flowing through the cave they were about to exit.
One spelunker was driven back 300 feet in the cave and drowned.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly cloudy. A hot afternoon.
Afternoon High 93
WIND: NW 5-10

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny and hot.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 94
WIND: NE 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers late.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 7-14

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. A good chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SW 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel
7:00pm Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl
10:00pm ABC33/40 News
10:35pm 24

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