ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday June 9, 2007
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...Fewer Showers and Storms...

A cold front is moving rather briskly through Northwest Alabama at
late morning. Ahead of the front, the airmass is very moist and
fairly unstable. In fact, instability levels were in excess of 2000
j/kg over much of the northern half of the state. A few showers had
developed along the front by 10:30 a.m., but they quickly fell apart.
Scattered showers and storms should form along and ahead of the front
this afternoon as the sun continues to hear the moist atmosphere. The
best chances will come across southern and eastern sections, mainly
southeast of Birmingham.

DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW: Not what we want to hear here in drought
stricken North Central
Alabama, but the lower humidities will be appreciated. The drier air
is lagging behind the cold front by 125 miles or so. At Cape
Girardeau in the Missouri Bootheel, the dew point was just 49F! You
will notice dewpoints gradually going down overnight tonight. Lows by
morning will be able to fall into the upper 60s across the
Tuscaloosa-Birmingham-Anniston areas. Tomorrow night will see lows in
the middle 60s.

OUTLOOK FOR RAIN: By tomorrow, a ridge of high pressure in the middle
atmosphere will be located over Louisiana. Shower chances on Sunday
will be extremely limited, with only very isolated storms forming at
the peak heating of the day. Temperatures will be very hot, with
readings in the lower and middle 90s. Alabama will find itself under
a ridge of high pressure that will be increasingly pinched between a
major low pressure system over the mid-Atlantic and an upper low over
the Arklatex. The ridge over the Deep South will gradually break
down, and we will see a corresponding increase in shower and
thunderstorm activity starting Thursday. Still, no major rain systems
are indicated during the foreseeable future.

NATIONALLY: At lunchtime, things were very quiet nationally. It is
unusual indeed to have not a single watch, advisory in effect at the
noon hour, but that is the case today. Before the day is out, severe
weather is expected along the South Atlantic coasts from southeastern
Virginia to Northeast Florida. The tropical Atlantic is quiet…

MAIN EVENTFLASH FLOODING DEATH TOLLS DROPPING: The 1970s were the
worst decade for flash floods in U.S. history. Devastating floods
struck Buffalo Creek, WV (125 fatalities); Rapid City, SD (which
occurred on this date in 1972, causing 237 fatalities); Big Thompson
Canyon, CO (145 fatalities); Johnstown, PA (76 fatalities); and Kansas
City, MO (23 fatalities) were the deadliest of that decade.. Flash
floods killed an average of 127 people each year in the United States
between 1972-2001. Improvements in forecasting and warning have been
effective in reducing the death toll. No single flash flood has
killed more than 100 people since 1980 and the 10 year average annual
death toll has dropped to 88. Remember, turn around, don't drown.

Bill Murray

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly cloudy and hot. Scattered showers south of the Birmingham metro.
Overnight Low 72
WIND: Light

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Almost no chance of any rain.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 94
WIND: N 5-10

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Little or no chance of showers.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 94
WIND: NE 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Mainly dry and hot.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

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