ABC 33/40 E-Forecast
ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday June 13, 2007
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...Hot and Mostly Dry...
The great hunt for rain continues. North Alabama is in an exceptional
agricultural and hydrological drought, and one of the driest places in
the nation according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Quite frankly, we
are running out of words to describe the very dry conditions around
here, and unfortunately it looks like we will hang to find some more
words through the weekend. Any showers and storms will be very
isolated during the next five days, and the best chance of them today
and tomorrow will be over the eastern third of the state, closer to an
upper air trough that lingers near the U.S. Atlantic coast. Afternoons
will remain hot, especially on the western side of the state where mid
to upper 90s are likely again today. For communities to the east, near
the Georgia border, the heat won't be so bad. In fact, some spots
might fail to reach 90 degrees across Cherokee, Cleburne, Randolph,
and Chambers counties.
SOME HOPE: The primary American global computer model, the Global
Forecast System (GFS), continues to show a a decent chance of numerous
showers and thunderstorms by Tuesday of next week as a rather strong
cold front for June pushes into Alabama from the north, with nice
support from an upper air trough. Of course, this might change, but
for now we will hit the chance of rain fairly hard for Tuesday June
19, and keep our fingers crossed that we won't have to back down
later.
TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE: The Atlantic basin remains relatively quiet,
and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend. We
do note that the Dauphin Island Sea Lab along the Alabama coast has
been reporting SSTs (sea surface temperatures) in the upper 80s over
the past couple of days. The Gulf of Mexico is getting very, very
warm.
AT THE BEACH: If you have a beach trip planned, expect about 8 to 10
hours of sunshine on a daily basis through the weekend with a few
scattered showers and storms. Along the immediate coast, the high will
be in the upper 80s, with 90s just a few miles inland. We note that
Mobile soared to 100 degrees thanks to a northerly, off-shore breeze.
That was new record high for Mobile; it beat the old record of 99 set
125 years ago in 1882.
HEAT PARADE: In addition to Mobile, Tuscaloosa also reached 100
degrees yesterday; it was their second day in a row with triple digit
heat. Birmingham's official high was 94, four degrees "cooler" than
Monday.
SUMMER STORMS: Strong to severe storms moved southward across the
southern half of Alabama yesterday afternoon. Baseball sized hail
pelted the community of Honoraville in Crenshaw County. There were
numerous reports of hailstones ranging from nickel to golf ball size
in the eastern part of Montgomery. A possible tornado downed trees
near Milton, Florida.
James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com
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TODAY
Mostly sunny with a hot afternoon.
Afternoon High 91
WIND: E 5-10
THURSDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. A few widely scattered afternoon storms,
mainly over East Alabama.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 92
WIND: E 5-10
FRIDAY
Partly sunny. A passing afternoon shower or storm in a few spots.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10
SATURDAY
A good supply of sunshine. Only isolated afternoon showers or storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 5-10
SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Just a small risk of any one spot getting wet during the
afternoon.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 5-10
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