ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday May 31, 2007
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...Tropical Action Ahead in the Gulf?...

Satellite images this morning show a large area of disturbed area in
the southern and eastern Gulf of Mexico, and this system has the
potential to slowly develop into a tropical depression during the next
48 hours. Whatever forms in that region should move to the northeast,
giving much of the Florida peninsula a good soaking by the weekend.
For now, we don't expect any direct impact over the northern
two-thirds of the state, but the surf will be rough with riptides
along the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida by Friday and the
weekend. If the system develops into a tropical storm, the name will
be Barry.

THE ALABAMA STORY: Not much change in our weather today; a relatively
moist airmass will cover the state, and a few widely scattered showers
are possible, especially on the western side of the state. If you like
the numbers game, the chance of any one spot getting wet today is
about one in eight. Moisture levels will continue to slowly increase,
and we will mention a chance of scattered showers and storms tomorrow
through Sunday. The best chance of a shower will come during the
afternoon hours, and highs will remain mostly in the mid 80s with a
mix of sun and clouds on a daily basis.

A cold front will approach the state from the north early next week,
and that should give us an increase in the number of showers and
thunderstorms by Monday and Tuesday. That front will probably wash out
by mid-week.

ARE YOU KIDDING ME? We actually had a flash warning in Alabama
yesterday; that was issued for the southeast part of Baldwin County,
where a localized cluster of showers and storms dropped around 5
inches on the community of Lillian, which is north of Orange Beach,
and near the Florida border east of Foley on U.S. 98. Mobile was
soaked with 0.88", and over on the Mississippi coast the total at
Gulfport was 1.35". A few sprinkles were seen as far north as
Tuscaloosa and Birmingham late in the day, but those raindrops didn't
settle the dust in most places.

AT THE BEACH: A developing tropical system in the southern Gulf of
Mexico will bring gusty winds and rough surf to the coast of Alabama
and Northwest Florida through Saturday, but most of the rain will stay
to the south. However, there will be a few scattered showers and
storms on a daily basis from Panama City westward to Gulf Shores and
Dauphin Island through the coming weekend. Daily highs along the
immediate coast will be near 80 degrees, and the sea water
temperatures in that region generally range from 77 to 80 degrees.

DROUGHT MONITOR: Birmingham's rain deficit for the year is up to
14.84". The total for May is only 1.08", and we have experienced
measurable rain on only three days this month. If there is no rain
today, this will be our fifth driest May on record, based on data from
the Birmingham Airport.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Warm and hazy with a few isolated afternoon showers.
Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 6-12

FRIDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Widely scattered, mainly afternoon showers or
thunderstorms.
Morning Low 65 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 6-12

SATURDAY
Intervals of hazy sunshine. A chance of an afternoon shower or storm
in a few spots.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 85
WIND: S 6-12

SUNDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and
evening hours.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 85
WIND: S 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 83
WIND: SW 6-12

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