ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday May 20, 2007
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...Dry Weather Continues...

Each weekend, I watch the rainfall deficit in Birmingham grow. Now,
it stands at over 13 inches. And not much rainfall is in sight for
the immediate future. Huntsville's deficit is over 14 inches, Muscle
Shoals over 13, Tuscaloosa over 16 and Mobile over 13.

DROUGHT UPDATE: The northwest half of Alabama continues in an Extreme
Drought condition according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. All of
Alabama except for the Wiregrass area of Southeast Alabama is
considered to be in a drought, and even that area is listed as
abnormally dry. Experts do expect some relief in the drought
conditions during the summer season, which is encouraging.

PROSPECTS FOR RAINFALL: Let's look and see if we can spot any wet
trends in the medium and long range…the prospects for rainfall in the
7 day period are slim. We might see a few showers late on Wednesday,
but the chance is small and should be limited to eastern sections. As
we head into the longer range, we see a couple of chances for rain
events in the 7 to 14 day period, including the possibility of a
tropical system?

OUR FORECAST: Clear and comfortable for the next couple of nights,
followed by days with lots of sunshine and gradually warming
temperatures. By Wednesday, a backdoor cold front will be approaching
Alabama from the east, and there could be a few light showers as it
arrives, mainly late Wednesday. We will notice the typical increasing
east breeze, but things should die down as we heaed into Thursday. It
then looks dry through Saturday with a few light showers possible on
Sunday.

TROPICAL TROUBLE (OR GODSEND?) Last night's GFS out at 204 hours
(early Monday the 28th) showed a tropical low moving toward the
Yucatan Channel. By Tuesday the 29th, it would be moving into the
southeastern Gulf. It makes landfall on the Southwest Florida coast
on Wednesday and then moves up the Peninsula on Thursday bringing some
beneficial, fire snuffing rains to North and Central Florida. The low
then rotates up into Alabama on Friday, bringing more soaking rains to
eastern sections of the state over into Georgia. Voodoo land for
sure, but we can hope. The morning GFS develops it much slower and
moves it into the southwestern Gulf as a weak low before moving it
north toward the Texas/Louisiana coast before the Memorial Day
weekend.

ON THIS DATE IN 1883: The tiny Indonesian Island of Krakatau was
shook by a series of loud explosions that signaled that the
long-dormant volcano on the uninhabited island was active once again.
Residents on the neighboring islands of Sumatra and Java were not
really concerned as the island's rumblings grew in intensity over the
next few months. On August 27th, the major eruption sent a cloud of
burning ash toward the island of Sumatra, where many residents were
burned to death. But the major disaster resulted when tsunamis
triggered by the massive blast emanated outward from Krakatau. Waves
up to 130 feet high swept the islands of Java and Sumatra. All in
all, 36,000 people were killed by the eruptions and resultant
tsunamis.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Sunny. Continued low humidity.
Afternoon High 82
WIND: Light

MONDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 51 Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 4-8

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 5-10

WEDNESDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. Chance of a shower or storm late.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 80
WIND: E 7-14

THURSDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 79
WIND: SE 5-10

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