ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday May 25, 2007

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CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM FOR RAIN: For a time, it appeared that we had a
decent chance of some good showers later next week—mainly around
Wednesday and Thursday. The latest model runs have backed off a bit
on that and it now appears our better chance of rain will be next
weekend, say about Saturday (a week from tomorrow). Weather models
that go out more than five days are somewhat like the stock market
and cranky old men. They are subject to changing their minds and flip-
flopping.

Meanwhile, the Birmingham rain deficit since you said Happy New Year
has reached 14 inches. That is most unusual. It will be difficult to
overcome that deficit. Of course, the real answer would be a tropical
depression coming ashore from the North Gulf of Mexico. A tropical
depression can produce very generous rain amounts—almost as if it is
a tropical storm. We definitely do not want a tropical storm or
hurricane.

MEMORIAL DAY: Mostly sunny and dry weather for the Memorial Day
weekend. High temperatures in Central Alabama will be around 86 or
87. We could see some more smoke and haze, at times, since prevailing
winds will be out of the SE. The humidity will continue lower than
normal, so those high temperatures will not be that uncomfortable.

AT THE BEACH: No telling how many people are headed that way and
the weather looks good all the way through the Memorial Day weekend.
There may be a small risk of a shower over the weekend, but almost
everybody will stay dry. High temperatures will vary from 82 to 86.
The sea surface temperature along the Alabama/NW Florida coast is in
the mid 70s.

THE WORLD OF WEATHER: Unusually warm weather has reached the far
north. It was 91 in Boston this afternoon and they were getting some
visibility restrictions due to smoke and haze from the southern
wildfires…it was 90 yesterday in Ottawa and 88 in Montreal…even
Saranac Lake, New York will reach the upper 80s this afternoon. They
had 25 a few days ago…major flash flooding continues in the Plains…
dozens of flash flood warnings across South and Central Texas today.
Cotulla, Tex., 4.54 inches of rain overnight…Oklahoma City has
received almost twice as much rain as Birmingham this year…they are
over 7 inches above normal.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: For the second night in a row, we were
at a granddaughter's high school graduation last night at the Church
at Brook Hills. It was the Jefferson County International
Baccalaureate School. Congratulations to them again this year for
being the fourth best high school in the nation as reported in the
current issue of Newsweek. They were number one a couple of years
ago. We are proud of our Stephanie Broome. I feel sure her IQ is 10
times that of poor little me. Woe is me. I only had two sips of
coffee very early this morning before Little Miss Molly pounded away
on the little bell on the back door wanting to walk. It was sunrise.
I treasure my coffee and morning paper first thing when I get up, but
away we went. All of the birds were probably at DeSoto State Park or
Cheaha for the holiday. We did enjoy three fly-overs by two old
crows. The only other living creature we saw was a very young 1,000
legs (I guess we should call him 100 legs). He was curled up asleep.
Life goes on.....

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Mostly clear.
Overnight Low 61
WIND: SE 3-6

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon 86
WIND: SE 6-12

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 86
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 85
WIND: S 6-12

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