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Saturday, March 31, 2007

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday March 31, 2007
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...Storms Tonight...

For two weeks, I have been watching the weather models for my good
friends David and Ina Mae Sher. Their beautiful daughter Melanie is
getting married tonight. The wedding is outside, so they have been
understandably concerned. Funny thing is, the GFS from 14 days ago is
right on track. I initially said it would be warm and balmy, with a
nice southerly wind and a chance of late night storms. Of course, we
had to spice things up with a mid-week scare that the storms would be
centered on the wedding. Luckily, not so.

NATURE'S AIR CONDITIONING: Our little impressive backdoor cold front
really provided some excellent conditions Friday afternoon. I was
standing on 6th Avenue about 3 p.m. thinking this is one of those days
that is close to perfect in Alabama. The mercury was a comfortable 70
degrees with a refreshing easterly wind. We'll take it.

MORE OF THE SAME: Today looks to be nearly a carbon copy of today,
with a good bit of stratocumulus in the relatively cool, relatively
moist easterly flow. The strong March sun will burn off some of the
clouds by afternoon, allowing for some sunshine. Temperatures should
warm into the middle to upper 70s. The clouds should thicken by late
afternoon, and then an approaching cold front will set the stage for…

STRONG STORMS: Fairly strong low pressure is on the Kansas/South
Dakota border this morning. This low is weakening slowly as it moves
northeast. It will pass into Iowa and then Minnesota during the day.
A cold front will push our way, and instability levels will be strong
enough to support a few strong storms tonight. The rain should enter
West Alabama during the evening hours and progress eastward overnight.
The storms will be accompanied by some heavy rain, as well as small
hail and gusty winds. Widespread severe weather is not expected. The
rain and storms will weaken as it slowly edges eastward through the
morning hours. Hopefully it will go slowly enough to allow for some
decent rainfall amounts. We are calling for one half to one inch on
average across Central Alabama. That is welcome news since we are now
over nine inches below normal for the year. .

LOOKING AHEAD: Monday looks dry, but the old front will come north
with a chance of showers on Tuesday. Another cold front will arrive
Tuesday night, with a chance of showers and storms. Then we will go
into a cooler pattern. We might even see some lows in the 30s in the
normally colder locations next week.

ON THIS DATE IN 1962: Seventeen people were killed by a tornado at
Milton, Florida, It ranks as one of the three deadliest tornadoes in
Florida history. The F3 twister killed seventeen people and injured
one hundred. Damage was estimated at $1.5 million.

Bill Murray

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny, breezy and mild. Chance of showers and possibly a
thunderstorm starting Saturday night.
Afternoon High 78
WIND: S 10-16

SUNDAY
Showers and thunderstorms, numerous at times, during the morning.
Diminishing late.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 74
WIND: SW 8-16

MONDAY
Partly sunny and warm.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 83
WIND: SW 6-12

TUESDAY
Clouds increase. Chance of showers and thunderstorms by afternoon,
increasing at night.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 76
WIND: SW 8-16

WEDNESDAY
Chance of a few morning showers. Much cooler with a breezy north wind.
Some clearing late.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 62
WIND: NW 8-16

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel
7:00pm The Rookie
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm 24

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