ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday March 29, 2007
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...Record Warmth Likely Today...

The record high for today in Birmingham is 85 degrees, set 79 years
ago in 1928. That record is very much in danger as the March heat wave
rolls along; we are forecasting a high of 87 today, which is seventeen
degrees above normal for March 29. An upper level ridge will keep the
sky mostly sunny with only a few fair weather cumulus clouds around.

COOLER AIR ARRIVES TOMORROW: A nice surge of cooler air will move into
Alabama from the east late tonight and tomorrow; this air originated
over Eastern Canada, and has been moving down the eastern side of the
Appalachian Mountains. Daytime high temperatures tomorrow will drop
into the 70 to 75 degree range, and some communities near the Georgia
border might not make it out of the 60s. There will be some scattered
clouds around, but no rain is expected.

THE WEEKEND: A strong upper trough, now over the Rocky Mountain
states, will approach Alabama over the weekend and will finally bring
a decent chance of some rain to the state. The system will take its
time in moving to the east, and it now looks like the best chance of
showers will come late Saturday night and into Sunday. At the moment
it looks like rain totals of 1/4 to 1/2 inch will be possible, and the
severe weather risk looks minimal with weakening upper support and
marginal instability values.

A surface front will stall out over the central part of the state
Sunday, and that will mean some risk of showers into Monday of next
week. Then, another cold front will approach with a good chance of
showers and storms late Tuesday and Tuesday night. Cooler air will
follow that rain by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

HOW DRY? Birmingham's rainfall deficiency for the year is up to 8.63".
Our rain total since January 1 is only 6.57", and the total for March
is 1.01". We normally receive over six inches of rain during March,
which is the wettest month of the year. Down in Pike County; today
will be the 28th day in a row with no rain for Troy; their last rain
came on March 1 on the big severe weather outbreak day.

WEDNESDAY'S WARMTH: The warmest spots in Alabama yesterday were Dothan
and Pinson with 86 degrees. Birmingham's official high was 83, within
six degrees of the record high for March 28 (89 set in 1919).

ROAMING FAR AND WIDE: As of late last night, there were a total of 47
tornadoes reported to the Storm Prediction Center in a broad area from
West Texas to Nebraska. There were reports of several 18 wheelers
flipped over by a tornado at a rest area along I-40 in the Texas
Panhandle, not far from Amarillo. There is a risk of severe storms
again today from Texas northward into the Plains states. Nashville was
soaked by several showers and storms yesterday; their rain total was
1.30". Hottest place in the nation, for the second day in a row, was
Laredo, Texas with 92 degrees.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny and very warm. A new record high is likely this afternoon.
Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny and cooler.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 74
WIND: SE 7-14

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. A chance of showers by Saturday night.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 79
WIND: S 7-14

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 77
WIND: S 6-12

MONDAY
Occasionally cloudy with scattered showers possible.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 78
WIND: S 6-12

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