ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday March 27, 2007
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...Another Warm March Day...

What should be the wettest month of the year in Alabama is turning out
to be one of the driest. Birmingham's rain total for the month is only
1.01"; during a normal March we expect over six inches of rain. And,
for the year, the rain deficit is up to 8.25". Most of North-Central
Alabama is considered to be in a moderate drought, while the Tennessee
Valley of extreme North Alabama is in an extreme drought. The stubborn
upper level ridge that has produced this kind of weather this month is
holding tight this morning, and will deflect a storm system over Texas
north of Alabama during the next 48 hours. Any showers that form
during the peak of the daytime heat today and tomorrow should be very
isolated; the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one on
ten.
Temperatures will remain much warmer than normal; look for afternoon
high temperatures between 80 and 85 degrees through Thursday. The
average high for today is 69, so these values are about 15 degrees
above normal. We do expect some cooler air to slip into the state by
Friday and the weekend as an easterly flow develops across the state;
highs then should drop into the low to mid 70s.

NEXT RAIN: Another deep upper trough will move out of the Rockies
later this week, and it looks like this one will squash the upper
ridge across the Deep South, and will bring our next good chance of
showers and thunderstorms by Saturday. For now, it looks like the best
chance of rain will come from about 2:00 p.m. Saturday through 4:00
a.m. Sunday, and rainfall amounts of 1/2 inch are likely, but some
communities might see one inch. We will also have a chance of strong
to severe thunderstorms, but the wedge of cooler air moving in from
the east might reduce instability enough to prevent a major problem.
We will fine tune the severe weather outlook as we approach the
weekend. The sky should clear on Sunday as a dry slot moves into
Alabama.

FIRE ALERT: A total of 43 counties in Alabama are now under a fire
alert, which is issued by the Alabama Forestry Commission. This alert
covers much of Alabama along and west of I-65, including the
Birmingham metro area. To date for the month of March 2007 there have
been 1,041 fires across Alabama with 20,523 acres burned.

THIRTEEN YEARS AGO TODAY: March 27, 1994 was Palm Sunday, and it would
be a red letter day in Alabama weather history. A violent tornado
touched down near Ragland, in St. Clair County, and moved northeast.
That tornado would strike the Goshen United Methodist Church, just
north of Piedmont along Alabama Highway 9, during the morning worship
service. A total of 20 people died in the church, where they were in
the middle of an Easter drama. One of those that died was Hannah Clem,
the four year old daughter of the pastor, Kelly Clem. The people in
the church did not hear the tornado warning for southern Cherokee
County, which was issued 12 minutes before the church building was
destroyed.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A mix of sun and clouds.
Afternoon High 81
WIND: S 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. Any showers will be very isolated.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 82
WIND: S 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Continued warm.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SE 6-12

FRIDAY
Partially sunny and a little cooler.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 75
WIND: E 7-14

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers and storms by afternoon.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 76
WIND: SE 7-14

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Dancing With The Stars
9:00pm Great American
Dream Vote
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Nightline

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