ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Tuesday December 19, 2006

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A CHANGE TO WETTER WEATHER IN THE WEEKS AHEAD: Our last big rain event
in Alabama was way back on November 15, and Birmingham's total for the
month of December is a measly 0.24". So, some rain is needed, and the
pattern is flipping to a wetter one in the coming weeks. Storm systems
will form over the southwest part of the nation, then moving out into
the heartland. This will bring a rain to Alabama and the Deep South
about every three to four days. The first round of wet weather will
begin Thursday afternoon, with the rain becoming widespread Thursday
night and Friday. Rainfall amounts of one to two inches are likely,
and some spots across the northern half of the state might exceed two
inches. Some thunder could be involved, but we don't expect any severe
weather since the air will be relatively stable. Temperatures will be
trending downward with the clouds and rain.

PRE-CHRISTMAS WEEKEND: Clouds will probably linger into much of the
day Saturday, but it looks like the best chance of rain during the day
will be over the southern half of the state. For the Papajohns.com
Bowl Saturday at Legion Field in Birmingham, we are now projecting a
mostly cloudy sky during the game, but the chance of rain looks small.
The kickoff temperature (at 12:00 Noon) should be close to 55 degrees,
rising into the upper 50s during the game.

To the west, another potent weather system will move northeast, and
will bring rain back to Alabama by Sunday afternoon. Looks like Sunday
night will feature a soaking rain for most all of Alabama, with
potential for over one inch for most communities. Back in the cold air
sector, a nice Christmas Eve snow event will break out from Central
Texas through East Oklahoma, North Arkansas, South Missouri, and into
the southern part of Illinois and Indiana. Places like Dallas, Tulsa,
and St. Louis have a pretty decent shot at a White Christmas this year
thanks to this storm system.

CHRISTMAS DAY: The rain should end across Alabama Christmas morning as
colder air moves into the state. It might be a day with temperatures
falling from the mid to upper 50s at daybreak into the low 40s by
afternoon. Even some hint that enough moisture might remain for a few
snow flurries Monday night or Tuesday, but no accumulation is expected
if flurries do develop.
Tuesday of next week looks pretty cold, with the northern part of the
state having a hard time getting out of the 30s. And, we should be
well down in the 20s by early Wednesday morning. Yet another storm
system seems poised to bring more rain toward the end of Christmas
week across the southern U.S.

ROAMING: Coldest place in Alaska this morning was Northway with minus
22 degrees. West Yellowstone, MT reported minus 24. Winter storm
warnings are up this evening from New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle
northward to South Dakota. A total of 1.30" of rain was recorded in
Miami during the last 24 hours.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Fair and cool.
Overnight Low 47
WIND: Light NE

WEDNESDAY
A mix of sun and clouds.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon 65
WIND: SE 6-12

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy. Rain arrives by afternoon; becoming widespread Thursday night.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 64
WIND: SE 6-12

FRIDAY
Rain much of the day.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 61
WIND: E 7-14

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy and cool. Some lingering light rain possible during the morning.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 58
WIND: NE 6-12

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