ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday Novemer 8, 2006
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...Some Afternoon Clearing Today...

While we begin the day with low clouds and some drizzle, we expect a gradual
improvement in the weather across Alabama today as the big upper low pulls
away from us. We should begin to see some clearing this afternoon; the sun
should break through first on the western side of the state, but communities
near the Georgia border could remain overcast all day. All of Alabama should
be clear by tonight, and the stage is set for some really nice weather
tomorrow and Friday as a big warming trend begins. With a good supply of
sunshine, we expect mid 70s tomorrow, and upper 70s by Friday. Some spots in
West Alabama might even touch 80 on Friday, not far from record levels for
early November in Alabama.

THE WEEKEND: A significant storm system will form west of Alabama on Friday,
and might set the stage for a severe thunderstorm threat from the eastern
part of Texas into parts of the midwest. Those showers and storms should
move into our state late Friday night, mainly after midnight, continuing
into the day Saturday. The latest model data suggests the best chance of
rain will come from about midnight Friday night through 3:00 p.m. Saturday.
The best dynamic forcing will stay north of Alabama, and with marginal
instability values we don't expect a big severe weather problem here in
Alabama at this point. Then, drier air returns Saturday night into Sunday
with comfortable temperatures. The high on Sunday should be close to 70
degrees.

NEXT WEEK: A very difficult forecast due to computer model inconsistencies
and the progressive pattern, but right now it looks like we will begin the
week with a good chance of showers and strong storms on Monday. Beyond
Monday, there are two schools of thought. One concept is that the front
stalls out, prolonging the rain into mid-week and possibly setting up a
flash flood threat. The other idea, one showing up more and more on recent
computer model runs, shows a very deep upper trough forming over the eastern
U.S. next week, which could drive the coldest air so far this season all the
way down to the Gulf of Mexico. If this happens to be correct, the weather
will be quite cold one week from now. We will wait for more clarity before
making a final call... looks like a very interesting week one way or
another.

ROAMING: Serious flooding continues across parts of Washington and Oregon;
at least one death is blamed on the heavy rain, and there have been many
evacuations and road closures. Hottest spot in the nation yesterday was
Woodland Hills, CA with 101. The ABC 33/40 Online Weather Watcher (Todd
Foisy) in Girdwood, Alaska (near Anchorage) reported a high of 19 (F)
degrees yesterday following a morning low of 10. The snow depth there is two
inches, and Todd reports that even with full sunshine, temperaturess are
cold enough and the sun angle weak enough to where only about 1/8'' of snow
is melting per day.

Here in Alabama, one of the heaviest rain totals from Monday and yesterday
was 3.64", recorded in south Fayette County.

James Spann jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Morning clouds giving way to some afternoon sunshine. Some early morning
drizzle possible.
Afternoon High 64
WIND: NW 7-14

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny and much warmer.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 76
WIND: SW 6-12

FRIDAY
Partly sunny and very mild for November.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 78
WIND: SW 6-12

SATURDAY
Occasionally cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SW 7-14

SUNDAY
Partly to mostly sunny.
Morning Low 42 Afternoon High 70
WIND: NW 6-12

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6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Dancing With The
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9:00pm The Nine
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News

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