ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday October 12, 2006

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BIG RAIN EVENT EARLY NEXT WEEK: Colder air continued to spread into
Alabama from the NW this afternoon and by morning temperatures will be
in the low to mid 40s. With the changing air mass is a band of
cloudiness spreading in from the west and NW. We may see some patches
of light rain overnight, however, skies will be clearing early Friday
and temperatures will recover to the mid 60s. Early Saturday morning
still looks like our coldest time. We have been calling for a low of
38, but we have raised that to 40. There is still a good chance that
places like Pinson, Valley Head and other traditional cold spots could
drop into the mid and upper 30s. There may be some scattered light
frost in the better protected valleys. This should not be a killing
frost. Look for a nice warm up Saturday afternoon with temperatures
rising some 35 degrees into the mid 70s.

Now, about the big rain event. It looks like Monday and
Tuesday—especially later Monday through Tuesday morning. There is a
chance that parts of Alabama could receive 1 to 2 inches of rain from
this storm system, especially over the north and NW. There will also
be some thunderstorms involved. It is too early to ascertain if we
will have a severe weather risk.

TROPICAL WEATHER: A weak low pressure area was between Puerto Rico
and the Northern Leeward Islands. Most of the hurricane models project
it continuing toward the west through the Caribbean, however,
conditions that are conducive to tropical development have become even
less favorable. Sea surface temperatures at midday were 85 to 86
across the Caribbean, 85 in the Bay of Campeche, but only 81 at a data
buoy 75 land miles south of Alabama's Dauphin Island.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Excellent weather for the Friday night high school
games and the Saturday college games. Temperatures will be falling to
the 50s during the high school games. Old Miss will be at Alabama for
a 2:30 Saturday game. It should be about 75 at kick off with sunshine.
For the Auburn-Florida game in Auburn Saturday night, temperatures
will fall quickly into the 60s with upper 50s by the end of the game.

OUR WORLD OF WEATHER: The weather over the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest is more like winter than autumn. Bitter cold for so early in
the season. It was 14 this morning in Custer, South Dakota. A huge
intense low pressure system is swirling over the Great Lakes and
Southern Canada. It looks almost like an inland hurricane. In Chicago,
one-third inch of snow accumulated this morning at O'Hare Airport—the
earliest snow on the ground in the city's history. Heavy snow is
expected over Upper Michigan through tonight and by tomorrow winds
will be gusting as high as 50 mph with additional heavy snow showers.

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Clouds increase. Colder with a few patches of light rain.
Overnight Low 44
WIND: N 5-10

FRIDAY
Clearing, breezy and cool.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon 66
WIND: NW 8-16

SATURDAY
Sunny. A cold early morning with some patchy valley frost. Nice
afternoon warm up.
Morning Low 40 Afternoon High 75
WIND: W 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny and warmer. A slight chance of showers starting Sunday night.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 78
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with occasional showers and thunderstorms, increasing in
number late.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 75
WIND: S 10-18

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