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Tuesday, October 10, 2006

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday October 11, 2006
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...A Few Showers Today; Cooler Air Ahead...

A major upper air weather pattern change over North America will bring the
coolest air so far this season into Alabama tomorrow and Friday. In advance
of the push of chilly air from the northern part of the continent, we will
mention the risk of a few showers and thunderstorms across the state today
and early tonight. At this point we are not expecting a big rain event with
only limited moisture, and the threat of severe weather seems rather minimal
due to marginal instability and wind fields. Most places will see rain
amounts of a quarter-inch or less. The winds will veer around to the
northwest by mid to late afternoon and the cool-down will begin.

High temperatures tomorrow will drop into the mid 60s, and a secondary
surface front will move through by afternoon with even cooler air to follow
for Friday. A few scattered showers could form along the front tomorrow, but
with only very limited moisture rain probably won't amount to much. By
Friday, after a start in the upper 30s, the mercury will struggle to reach
the low 60s during the day with a chilly north wind. There could be some
early morning clouds, but we expect a good supply of sunshine statewide on
Friday. The weather will be chilly and crisp Friday night for high school
football games; you will need a good jacket or blanket this week.

FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON? At this point the chance of frost seems minimal
on Friday morning due to wind, but by Saturday morning we should have a
clear sky with light wind near the surface, and that should set the stage
for the first frost of the season for the valleys and protected areas of
North Alabama. In our forecast package we are using 39 as a low for Saturday
morning, but the colder pockets will drop into the 32 to 37 degree range
with some
frost.

A warming trend will begin Saturday afternoon as we rise back into the mid
70s. The air will remain very dry and the sky on Saturday should be mostly
sunny; a great day for football, the National Shrimp Festival in Gulf
Shores, and anything else going on outdoors (lots of arts and crafts shows
this weekend). And, we have taken out the chance of rain on Sunday as it
looks like the wet weather will hold off until the first part of next week,
maybe even as late as Tuesday and Wednesday.

TROPICS: A tropical wave was moving through the Windward Islands early this
morning and seems to be a little better organized on satellite images.
Still, upper air winds don't seem to favor any immediate development; we
will watch it as it comes through the Caribbean.

WEATHER HODGEPODGE: Some very beneficial rain fell on much of Texas
yesterday; the total in San Antonio was 1.52", Dallas-Fort Worth reported
1.43", while Houston measured 0.70". A tornado touched down during the late
morning hours near Brenham, Texas (near Houston), tearing the roof off a
number of homes and causing considerable property damage. No triple digit
heat in the nation yesterday; the hot spots were Laredo and Harlingen, Texas
with 93 degrees.

James Spann jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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*******************************************************

TODAY
Mostly cloudy and breezy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 80
WIND: SW 10-18

THURSDAY
Breezy and cooler. A few scattered showers are possible.
Morning Low 52 Afternoon High 66
WIND: NW 10-18

FRIDAY
Breezy and cool with a good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 61
WIND: N 10-18

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. A cold morning with frost possible in valleys and protected
areas.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 74
WIND: E 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny and warmer.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 77
WIND: SE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Dancing With The
Stars
8:00pm Lost
9:00pm The Nine
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News

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