ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday October 1, 2006
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...Warm Week Ahead...

Kind of nice to wake up to showers, a little fog and comfortably cool
temperatures on this Sunday morning. Some of the numerical weather
prediction models consistently called for showers and storms last night as
an upper level disturbance moved to our north. By evening newscast time, it
looked like the models were going to be wrong as radar were still quiet. As
a matter of fact, the NWS Birmingham forecaster commented about 10:15 p.m.
that the chance of rain would be removed from the forecast. Just 30 minutes
later, radars were beginning to light up. Those showers and storms moved
southeastward across the area, with the best rainfall amounts over Northeast
Alabama. 0.84 of an inch fell at Black Creek in northeast Etowah County,
0.79 at Crossville and 0.46 at Gadsden. Officially, 0.04 of an inch fell at
the Birmingham Airport. I picked up the same in Trussville.

LOOKING BACK ON SEPTEMBER: Our warmest reading of the month was 92 on
September 3rd. The lowest was 47 on the 29th. The mean temperature for
the month was 73.3, which is 0.5 degrees below normal. The 3.74 inches of
rain that fell was about 0.31 inches short of normal. Measurable rain fell
on eight days with a trace on seven others. So, temperatures and rainfall
for the month were slightly below normal.

WELCOME TO OCTOBER: October may be the best weather month of the year in
Alabama. According to monthly weather records, it is the driest at
Birmingham, with an average monthly rainfall of 3.23 inches. At the
beginning of the month, the average high is 80 degrees, but will drop to
near 70 by Halloween.

The average low will drop from 57 at the start of the month to 46 by October
31st. It usually rains on six days, and storms on only one, both the lowest
values for the year. It is also the month with the greatest percentage of
clear observations.38.8%.

OUR FORECAST: It looks like the first few days of October will live up to
its advance billing with dry and warm conditions prevailing. A large ridge
of high pressure is expected to build over the area and stay in place
through much of the week. A front will begin approaching the area on
Thursday, and we could see a few showers during the overnight hours into
early Friday. This front will bring us back to readings that are near
normal for this time of
year.

QUICK PEEK TROPICS: Hurricane Issac will weaken as it begins to race
northward, but not before it could bring tropical storm force winds to the
Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland early on Tuesday. Elsewhere in the
Atlantic, things are quiet.

ON THIS DATE IN 1945: A Navy reconnaissance plane went down in a typhoon in
the South China Sea. The plane was the first Hurricane Hunter plane ever to
go down. The aircraft and 7 crewmembers were never found.

Bill Murray bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
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TONIGHT
Chance of a shower this afternoon. Skies clear overnight.
Morning Low 57
WIND: Light

MONDAY
Plenty of sunshine with a few clouds.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 87
WIND: E 5-10

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny skies.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Sunny skies.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 5-10

THURSDAY
Increasing clouds with a chance of showers, especially during overnight.

Morning Low 65 Afternoon High 87
WIND: NE 5-10

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