ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday September 23, 2006
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...A Rough Night...

An unusually strong late summer storm system brought a significant outbreak
of severe weather to much of the eastern United States yesterday. Strong
low pressure over the Northern Plains pulled copious amounts of warm, moist
air northward from the Gulf of Mexico. The northward extent of this airmass
was marked by a strong warm front over Alabama. West and south of the
front, the airmass became very unstable. Thunderstorms intensified in the
early afternoon as strong heating occurred through partly cloudy skies.
Strong wind shear profiles allowed the storms to organize and begin
rotating. A tornado watch was issued shortly after 2 p.m.

SIGNIFICANT SEPTEMBER SEVERE WEATHER: An outbreak of severe weather is not
something one would expect in September, but the strength of the system led
to the situation. At least 36 reports of tornadoes had been received by 9
p.m., mainly from Missouri, Illinois, Arkansas and Alabama. Several
injuries were reported.

ANOTHER DAY OF STORMS: The very strong cold front will continue to move
slowly southeastward today. More severe weather will break out ahead of the
front from the Great Lakes into Texas. We should have a sunny start in most
locations, with a little fog in areas that got decent rain More storms will
form over Alabama with the heating of the day, but we do not expect a
significant outbreak of severe weather over Alabama. The cold front will
push a line of strong storms through the state on Sunday morning, and severe
weather will be possible then. The good news is that I think that the upper
level dynamics should be lifting out to the north early Sunday, so the
biggest threat may be from straight line winds. We will keep our fingers
crossed.

MOVING FORWARD: Dry weather should be with us through Wednesday. Moisture
levels will be on the increase by Thursday, bringing back a chance of
showers and storms.

TROPICS: Helene was losing tropical characteristics this morning over the
Central Atlantic. A tropical wave about 1000 miles west of the Cape Verde
islands in the far eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop, but it
appears that it will recurve out to sea without threatening the United
States.

ON THIS DATE IN 1722: A powerful hurricane struck the northern Gulf Coast,
causing tremendous damage from Mobile to New Orleans. The newly established
capital of New Orleans was heavily damaged. This storm was also responsible
for the city of Mobile being moved to its present location from its original
site which was 27 miles north of the mouth of the Mobile River.

Bill Murray bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Warm and humid. Scattered showers and storms. A little breezy.
Afternoon High 88
WIND: S 8-16

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy and windy with showers and storms. Some could be severe.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 81
WIND: W 10-20

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Lower humidity returns.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 78
WIND: NW 10-15

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. A cool start.
Morning Low 52 Afternoon High 80
WIND: N 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Lots of sunshine.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 82
WIND: E 5-10

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