ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday August 29, 2006
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...Rain Chances Going Up...

We expect a general increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms
across Alabama today thanks to a surface front approaching from the
northwest. The chance of any one spot getting wet today is about one in
three, and most of the showers and storms should come during the afternoon
and evening hours. The front will be a slow mover, and we will have to
maintain at least a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms on
Wednesday. By Thursday and Friday, the best chance of showers will be over
the eastern third of the state where the moisture will be a little deeper.

Temperatures will trend downward for the rest of the week. In fact, there is
a chance a number of Alabama communities will fail to reach 90 for the next
five to seven days; that will be a welcomed break from the summer heat.

ERNESTO: Tropical Storm Ernesto struggled much of the day yesterday due to
the low level circulation being interrupted by the mountains of eastern
Cuba.

Today there is a chance the system will grow stronger as it heads for South
Florida. For now it looks like it will be a tropical storm at the time of
initial landfall in the U.S., wetting down much of the Florida peninsula and
bringing the risk of some flooding along with tree and power line damage.
The system should emerge into the Atlantic east of Daytona Beach, and
Ernesto has a chance to become a minimal hurricane before it reaches land
again, this time around Charleston, SC Thursday afternoon.The latest NHC
track has the circulation moving to a point west of Washington, D.C.
Saturday, which means some risk of very serious flooding for much of the
mid-Atlantic coast region as the system slows down. There is a chance the
rain will be much heavier for Washington and Baltimore, as compared to
Miami, if this scenario is correct.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS: There are a few unorganized waves scattered across
the Atlantic basin, but for now additional tropical storm formation is not
expected through mid-week.

ONE YEAR AGO TODAY: Katrina was an extraordinarily powerful and deadly
hurricane that carved a wide swath of catastrophic damage and inflicted
large loss of life. It was the costliest and one of the five deadliest
hurricanes to ever strike the United States. Katrina first caused
fatalities and damage in southern Florida as a Category 1 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. After reaching Category 5 intensity over
the central Gulf of Mexico, Katrina weakened to Category 3 before making
landfall on the northern Gulf coast one year ago today. Even so, the damage
and loss of life inflicted by this massive hurricane in Louisiana and
Mississippi were staggering, with significant effects extending into the
Florida panhandle, Georgia, and Alabama. Considering the scope of its
impacts, Katrina was one of the most devastating natural disasters in United
States history.

James Spann jspann@abc3340.com
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms by
afternoon.
Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Occasionally cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 87
WIND: N 6-12

THURSDAY
Variable clouds. A chance of scattered showers, mainly over East Alabama.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 88
WIND: NE 6-12

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of a few showers over East Alabama.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 88
WIND: E 6-12

SATURDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. Any showers should remain over the eastern half of
the state.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: E 6-12

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