ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday January 2, 2006
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GOOD AFTERNOON: Well, if you read my forecast yesterday, you know that I
tried to replace the excitement of the New Years day college football games
with my grading the matchup between Severe Weather and Non Event. We were
all pulling for Non Event, and so far it has been a rout, with only two
tornadoes and about three dozen severe reports as of noon.

HOORAY CAPS! I collect caps. They are good things. Sometimes, a cap in
the atmosphere is a bad thing, especially over the Plains, where a capping
inversion can allow the atmosphere to reach the boiling point before it
produces convection, and the results are disastrous. Our cap from last
night and this morning was a very good thing. As I said yesterday, "Go
Non-Event." But we have to be prepared, especially in these overnight
events where people are not paying attention like they should Consider the
twenty two people who died in Evansville, Indiana from a middle or the night
tornado on November 6th.

Alabama experienced a record 74 tornadoes in 2005. That number was
tremendously inflated by the number of tropical systems that directly
affected the state. But there were no tornado fatalities in the state in
2005. The goal is to provide effective warnings and forecasts that don't
miss the mark, while not creating too many false alarms. The ultimate goal
is no fatalities.

IT'S NOT OVER UNTIL ITS OVER: But now it's over. Bright sunshine has
warmed temperatures well into the 70s across North and Central Alabama.
Dewpoints are dropping now across middle Alabama as an elevated dry line has
pushed nearly halfway across the state. This dry air is working like a big
roll of Bounty paper towels to soak up the available moisture. Some
impressive dynamics close to the upper low over Missouri are sparking a line
of strong storms over Tennessee, but they don't show signs of sneaking down
into Mississippi or eventually Alabama yet.

Our cold front is moving across western Mississippi this afternoon. It will
sweep through overnight, putting an end officially to this event.
A Lake Wind Advisory is in effect for Central Alabama through the remainder
of the afternoon for breezy west winds that are averaging 10-20 mph.

MOVING FORWARD: Some clouds may wrap back around the upper low tonight,
giving some of us cloud through the overnight and early morning hours. Lows
will drop well into the 40s. But skies should clear on Tuesday, although
temperatures will be significantly cooler. Look for highs on Tuesday to be
in the upper 50s. A dry front slips through Wednesday night, opening the
door for some much colder weather into the weekend. Temperatures on Friday
will struggle to get out of the 30s. There could even be a few light showers
or flurries Friday. Readings will be in the middle 20s Saturday morning.

RECORDS FALLING: A new record high was established for January 2nd in
Birmingham at the airport when the temperature reached 76F. The old record
was 74F set just last year. Muscle Shoals has broken their record high for
the date, which was 73F, with a reading of 75F so far. Huntsville also has
broken their record high for the date, of 72F, with 74F so far.

EARTHQUAKE: In the middle of last night's waiting and watching, a 7.3
earthquake occurred in the South Atlantic off South America. You
immediately think tsunami now, but fortunately one was not triggered.

ZETA: We have seen it all, heard it all in this crazy 2005 North Atlantic
Hurricane Season. From Arlene to Zeta, along with 25 named storms in
between, it seems an eternity since the first tropical storm of the season
formed on June 8th. And not to sound like Mr. Bringdown, but the start of
hurricane season is just five months away.

Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Cooler with some clouds overnight.
Morning Low 48
WIND: W 6-12

TUESDAY
Becoming sunny.
Morning Low 48 Afternoon High 58
WIND: NW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy skies. A dry front passes during overnight.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 62
WIND: SW 6-12

THURSDAY
Cooler with a mix of sun and clouds.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 56
WIND: NW 6-12

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy and cold. Sprinkles or flurries possible.
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 40
WIND: N 7-14

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EQUIPPED IN 2006

It's 2006! You got that hottest gadget to make your life easier, new
clothes to make you look sharper, and you've made a New Year's resolution to
be healthier. 2006 should be a great year. But what happens when the "new"
wears off?

Do these things prepare you for everything next year has in store for you?
Do you want to know how to be ready... more equipped... to handle whatever
2006 sends your way? If so, join us at Hunter Street Baptist this Sunday,
January 8, as we are begin a new series called "Equipped."

Equipped is about knowing what you believe and how it affects the way you
live your life.

Worship and Bible study times are 8:15, 9:30, and 10:45 a.m. Be sure to
check us out on the web at http://www.hunterstreet.org or give us a call at
205.985.7295. Hunter Street is located at 2600 John Hawkins Parkway in
Hoover.

Start the New Year right--get equipped and know the Truth!
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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

3:30pm Fiesta Bowl
7:30pm Sugar Bowl
11:00pm ABC 33/40 News
11:35pm Nightline

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