ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday September 22, 2005
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WHOLE WORLD WATCHING RITA: She is a huge story. Following so
closely on the heels of Katrina, no hurricane has received so much TV and
press attention before making landfall.

And landfall is the big question. The national Hurricane Center
projects that to be about mid-way between Galveston and the Sabine River
(the Louisiana border) late Friday night or early Saturday morning and
probably still a Category four. If that landfall happens, it would lessen
the pressure a bit on Galveston and Houston but that should not be taken for
granted. Even if it goes inland there, Houston and Galveston would still get
buckets of rain and high winds, probably damaging.

But the most devastation would be near and east of the hurricane's
center. This could spell much trouble for SW and West Louisiana and Extreme
east Texas. She should still be hurricane strength well inland.

A huge storm surge will be with Rita as she moves inland especially
near and east of the center. That often causes as much or more damage than
the wind.

Rita is going to be a very wet hurricane. It is likely that 10 to 12
inches of rain will fall near her path and maybe as much as 15 inches. The
National Hurricane center is also concerned about the possibility of Rita
slowing, and possibly even stalling after moving inland. That could mean
some fantastic 25-inch rainfall amounts that would likely cause enormous
flood problems. And, oh yes, the risk of spinoff tornadoes will be there,
for sure.

RUNNING FROM RITA: Houston and Galveston people, fleeing north,
caused an enormous traffic backup today. In some cases, traffic was backed
up for 100 miles and a number of people simply sat in traffic and ran out of
gas. But, at least, they got out in plenty of time-contrasting with New
Orleans recently.

ALABAMA AND RITA: Hurricane Rita is not only powerful, but she is
very large, impacting a wide area. The broad circulation around her was
pulling lots of moist air inland from the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon.
This set off showers across South Georgia, South and Central Alabama this
afternoon. Some of those showers may reach the
Anniston-Birmingham-Tuscaloosa area. With moisture continue to stream
inland, we have introduced showers and some thunderstorms to our forecast
mainly over the weekend and into early next week.

You will also notice higher humidity. In fact, there was quite an
increase in that today with dew points near 70 as compared to mid 60s on
recent days.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Very little time to play with Molly
today. I don't think she likes hurricanes. They should name a hurricane
Molly because she is loaded with energy just like Rita. We did enjoy a
half-mile walk this morning. It was uneventful except when the wind picked
up a small leaf and it raked across Molly's face. She jumped straight up and
took off. Ah, the power of nature!

J. B. Elliott
jbelliott@charter.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Warm and humid. A few showers, mainly south.
Morning Low 70
WIND: E 4-7

FRIDAY
Partly sunny and more humid. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SE 7-14

SATURDAY
Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 8-16

SUNDAY
Breezy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 10-18

MONDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 86
WIND: S 8-16

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