ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday September 11, 2005
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GOOD AFTERNOON: The name Ophelia means helper. It is the name of a
character in Shakespeare's tragedy Hamlet. It is also the name of an album
by singer Natalie Merchant. I love Natalie Merchant. Ophelia did not
receive the popular acclaim that Tigerlily, her super successful debut album
did. The title track is a haunting, melancholy song rescued only by her
beautiful voice.

HURRICANE OPHELIA... Never trust a stationary hurricane. That is one of my
old adages. But I don't think we have anything to worry about from Ophelia
here in Alabama. In fact, the system will only enhance the hot, dry weather
we are currently experiencing. Now folks in the Carolinas and up the
eastern seaboard should be monitoring the storm carefully. The hurricane is
trapped between two high pressure systems, waiting for the light to change
so that it can go somewhere. By all indications, that will be north and
then northeast, mainly away from land save for a brush with the North
Carolina Outer Banks. That beautiful and wild place seems to be synonymous
with hurricanes in September. Turns out being stationary is a good thing
when it comes to some hurricanes, and we can count Ophelia in that lot. As
the storm sits and spins, it churns up water from the depths. It is called
upwelling. In this case, that deeper water is cooler and limits the storms
ability to strengthen. We are hopeful that Ophelia will stay in her box and
stay off the list of retired Atlantic Hurricane names. Only one O storm has
ever been retired. Can you guess who it is?

THE WEEK AHEAD... High pressure is centered over the Vermont/New York state
border near the town of Middlebury, Vermont . A big ridge extends
southwestward from this cell all the way back to the upper Texas coast.
Alabama is right under the apex of this ridge, giving us the current spate
of fine weather we are enjoying. We are also enjoying the protection of a
large bubble of high pressure that is located over the Deep South. Dry air
has been giving us large daily temperature ranges, with comfortable
overnight lows and very warm to hot afternoon readings. That is not going
to change anytime soon. When Ophelia begins her northward march, our winds
will actually become more northerly, which will give our hot temperatures a
free pass to continue for a couple of more days. The herald of change is a
low pressure trough in the upper atmosphere that will erode the upper high
and allow a cold front to come our way by Friday, accompanied by a chance of
showers/storms, lasting into Saturday.

ON THIS DATE IN 1992: Shortly after 3:00 pm (HST), Hurricane Iniki made
landfall on the south shore of the island of Kauai with wind gusts to 160
mph. Iniki's central pressure was 945 millibars. It unleashed its fury
primarily on Kauai, and more than 90 percent of the homes, buildings and
structures on the island sustained storm damage. $1.6 billion in damage,
but very few fatalities due to excellent warnings. Hurricanes are not
uncommon in the Pacific, but most of them remain east or pass south of the
islands. In spite of only four storms hitting the state in the prior forty
years, preparations were generally good.

Bill Murray
billmurray@att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Clear and comfortable.
Morning Low 66
WIND: Light

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. Continued hot.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 91
WIND: E 4-8

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NE 4-8

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NW 4-8

THURSDAY
Mix of sun, some clouds.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: NW 4-8

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6:00pm America's Funniest Videos
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