ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday July 16, 2005
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GOOD AFTERNOON: The radar is lighting up like a Christmas tree early this
afternoon over much of Alabama. Showers and storms began developing during
the late morning hours. With high amounts of moisture available, the
showers have been very efficient rain producers. As they grow in coverage
and intensity through the afternoon hours, heavy rainfall amounts may lead
to flash flooding in some locations. The showers are forming ahead of a
trough of low pressure to the west of Alabama. The precipitation will begin
to diminish this evening, although overnight showers are a possibility.

TOMRROW AND BEYOND: The trough should continue to influence our weather
tomorrow, with more showers and storms developing The trough should begin
to weaken as we head into Monday and next week, as high pressure builds into
Alabama from the east. Increasing high pressure means more sunshine and
fewer showers an storms. Temperatures will be on the increase also. The
upcoming week should feature partly cloudy skies, hot temperatures and
typical afternoon and evening s showers and storms scattered about the area.

TRACKING EMILY: Emily continues to intensify this afternoon. The storm is
located about 120 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica at early afternoon. Air
Force Reconnaissance found shortly after 10 a.m. that the central pressure
had dropped to 941 millibars. The same mission also found a flight level
wind of 148 knots (170 mph.) Winds are higher flight level, so the general
rule of thumb is to take 85% or that value to figure the surface winds.

Thus, the 145 mph maximum sustained winds reported in the late morning
advisory. This makes Emily an extremely dangerous category four hurricane.
Emily will continue skirting south of Jamaica this afternoon, keeping the
brunt of the hurricane force winds well offshore. Hurricane warnings are
also in effect for the Cayman Islands, but again, the eyewall of the
hurricane should remain to the south. Emily will then head toward a
rendezvous with the Yucatan Peninsula, where hurricane watches are in
effect. Emily should arrive there early on Monday and then move into the
SW Gulf and threaten Northeast Mexico and southern Texas.

RECORD BIN: Alaskan warmth...82 in Galena AK yesterday to tie the record
for the date... Hawaiian warmth... 86 at Lihue yesterday also tied their
record for the date... The 2.03 inches of rain at Memphis on Friday was a
record for the date... The 99F reading at Helena, MT tied their record for
any July 15th... Yesterday, the morning low at Clifton, AZ fell to only
85F, a new record.

ON THIS DATE IN 1998: A dramatic and mysterious cooling of waters in the
northeast Gulf of Mexico was killing fish and chilling bathers along the
beaches of the Florida Panhandle. Coastal water temperatures from near the
Alabama line to as far east as Panama City plunged suddenly from the upper
80s to the low70s, the kind of surf temperatures that could be expected off
of Cape Cod in mid-July. The clear, cold water killed all fish life with
its extraordinarily low levels of dissolved oxygen. The cold water welled
up from the DeSoto Canyon about 30 miles or so off of the Panhandle.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Showers and storms diminishing this evening. Mostly cloudy skies overnight.
Morning Low 72
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Morning clouds, then some sun. More showers and storms developing. Heavy
rain possible.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy with scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms
developing.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
Mix of clouds and sun, afternoon and evening showers and storms developing.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a chance of afternoon and evening showers and storms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Disney Movie: The Princess Diaries
9:00pm America's Funniest Home Videos
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10:35pm Maximum Exposure

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