ABC 33/40 E-Forecast
ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday May 22, 2005 ===================================================================
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GOOD AFTERNOON: Mid and high level clouds have been overspreading North Alabama this morning from upstream thunderstorm activity over Missouri. Did you notice the altocumulus clouds that were resent around midmorning in the Birmingham area? Those are the old mackerel clouds, or fish scale clouds that we looked for as kids. They indicate increasing mid-level instability. We always believed they meant rain was ahead. Is it?
THROUGH MONDAY: A cold front is pushing toward northern Arkansas this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms have been lined up along and ahead of this front. Morning storms over Missouri pushed out an outflow boundary that has been moving steadily southward through the morning hours. By early afternoon, it was located over northern Mississippi. As the front edges closer, showers and storms will form and move into North Alabama tonight or tomorrow morning. The models differ in their timing, with the ETA bringing the rainfall in overnight and the GFS holding off until morning. Rainfall amounts should average around 3/4 of an inch.
SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE? The front will probably be into North Alabama by midmorning tomorrow. Ahead of the front, thunderstorms will intensify with the heat of the day and increasing wind fields over Central and South Alabama. Storms could become strong to severe, with wind and hail being the primary threats.
REST OF THE WEEK: Behind, the front, dry weather will prevail on Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures with this incoming airmass will be a little cooler. Readings on Tuesday morning might dip below 60 degrees and on Wednesday morning might drop into the refreshing middle 50s over parts of North Alabama. Another front will approach on Thursday, giving us a chance of showers and storms again for Thursday and Friday. The front will stall out to our south on Saturday, possibly giving us continued shower chances into the weekend.
RECORD BIN: Record highs across Colorado Saturday: It was 92F at Grand Junction and 89F in beautiful Alamosa. It was 97F in Pueblo and 90F in Colorado Springs. Several records were set across the Lone Star State. It was 97F in Austin, 99 at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport, 99F in Waco, 96F in Houston and 92F in Galveston. It was 111F in Bullhead City, AZ.
HEATBURST! On this date in 1996, sinking air from collapsing evening thunderstorms in Oklahoma warmed as it reached the surface, causing a massive heatburst. The heatburst, with its dramatic increases in temperature and severe straight line winds spread across much of southwestern and central Oklahoma during a 6 hour period. Temperatures rose from the low 80s into the upper 90s and low 100s in just a matter of minutes, in the middle of the night! The mercury spiked to 102F in Chickasha and 105F in Ninnekah! Wind speeds in excess of 70 mph were measured with the heatburst, causing widespread wind damage. An estimated 90 percent of houses in eastern Comanche and western Stephens Counties sustained damage. Power was out for three days in parts of Lawton. Total damage: $18 million.
Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.jamesspann.com/bmachine/wxtalk.php
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TONIGHT
Partly cloudy and a little humid. Chance of an overnight shower or storm.
Morning Low 66
WIND: SW 4-8
MONDAY
Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some could be strong to severe.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 81
WIND: W/NW 9-18
TUESDAY
Sunny skies, less humid.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 80
WIND: N 7-14
WEDNESDAY
A refreshing start, then mostly sunny.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 79
WIND: N 5-10
THURSDAY
Increasing clouds. Slight chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 81
WIND: W 5-10
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