ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday December 3, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON: It has been a fairly nice day across the region with a good
deal of sunshine through occasional patches of high cloudiness.
Temperatures have warmed well into the 50s across the area, with lower and
middle varieties of those numbers over the North and middle and upper types
over Central sections.

FORECAST ISSUES: In the short term, the only forecast issue will be cloud
cover. Back to the west of Alabama, satellite photos show a great deal of
high level cloudiness. Over Texas, some really thick high cloudiness is
spreading eastward. It has its origins way out over the Pacific Ocean. I
think that our skies will become partly cloudy across the entire area during
the remainder of the afternoon and through the overnight hours. The models
are calling for mostly sunny skies on Saturday, but I think there is a
chance that there will be more periods when the sky might be mostly covered
with these high clouds. There should be a good deal of sunshine, also,
however.

I had mentioned a little frost again in the morning, but I think that is
unlikely, as temperatures will hold up a few degrees warmer than last night.
Readings will only drop into the upper 30s overnight.

Clouds will certainly begin to thicken in earnest Saturday night as a
significant storm system takes shape to the west of the state. The upper
low that is now over California will open up as a trough and move into the
Central Plains Sunday. This will result in the development of a low
pressure center over the Plains states by then. Meanwhile, another strong
trough will swing into the Four Corners region of the Southwest United
States. This trough will take on a negative tilt and this could spell
trouble, especially on Monday for our weather.

First, a warm front will move northward on Sunday, spreading a good amount
of rain and embedded thunderstorms over the state. Sunday afternoon into
Sunday night looks to be a really wet time, with showers beginning during
the morning hours. Copious amounts of Gulf moisture will be pumped into
Alabama overnight Sunday and during the day on Monday. Conditions will
become rather unstable Monday across the area with lots of moisture and
warmer air. This will breed more rain and storms. Meanwhile, a cold front
will push our way during the day on Monday, setting off a line of showers
and storms. Ahead of this line, we could see strong to severe storms during
the day and more severe weather as the front swings through.

After the front, Tuesday will be a rather blustery day with a little light
rain possible and a good deal of wraparound cloudiness. Wednesday should
see improving conditions with some sun returning. But by Thursday and into
the weekend, mostly cloudy conditions will prevail, with a chance of
showers.

ON THIS DATE IN 1983: 9.22 inches of rain fell at the NWS in Birmingham on
West Oxmoor Road in just 24 hours on the night before the Alabama/Auburn
game. Severe flash flooding resulted and some evacuations had to be done.
If the observation had been at the airport, it would have been a new 24 hour
record for Birmingham. There was a tornado warning and torrential downpour
during the Iron Bowl game at Legion Field.

Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Partly cloudy and cool.
Morning Low 37
WIND: Light

SATURDAY
Lots of sunshine. Clouds thicken during overnight.
Morning Low 37 Afternoon High 62
WIND: W 5-10

SUNDAY
Periods of rain and thunder.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 59
WIND: S 8-18

MONDAY
Breezy with showers and thunderstorms. Storms could be severe and rainfall
could be heavy.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SW 10-20

TUESDAY
Blustery and cooler with clouds and a little light rain.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 60
WIND: NW 10-20

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

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