ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday October 9, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON: On the weather maps and water vapor satellite imagery this
afternoon, we find an upper level low pressure system spinning over the
Texas Panhandle. This cyclonic circulation is part of a broad trough of low
pressure over the central part of the country. This feature is steering the
weak circulation of Tropical Depression Matthew to the north and east. The
broad southwesterly flow aloft is spreading lots of moisture northward into
the Southeast.

Over the Gulf, we see the sputtering thunderstorms of Matthew, struggling to
hold themselves together unsuccessfully. Matthew is not expected to
re-intensify and should remain a depression as it makes it northerly sojourn
toward the Gulf Coast. The official NHC track carries it over the Central
Louisiana coast Sunday morning, then northward into southern Mississippi
during the day. This more westerly track will keep Alabama on the wet side
of the disorganized tropical system.

Drier air in the lower levels of the atmosphere kept showers from reaching
the ground until just before dawn across much of Alabama this morning.
Moderate to heavy rain was spreading into southern Mississippi and Southwest
Alabama this afternoon. This precipitation shield weaken into a large area
of showers as it head northward, which means we will have showers through
the overnight hours and into Sunday. The main area of moderate to heavy
rain associated with Matthew should overspread the state during the day on
Sunday, reaching our area Sunday afternoon and lasting into Sunday evening.


Rainfall amounts will be significant across much of Central Alabama,
averaging one to three inches between now and Monday. The rainfall should
begin to taper Sunday night, but Matthew may stick around longer than we
would like.

HEADING INTO NEW WORK WEEK: By Monday, the remnant low pressure system of
Matthew will still b languishing over northern Mississippi. This will keep
us in showery conditions during the day on Monday. The GFS hints that the
low may slowly drift eastward across North Alabama on Tuesday and Wednesday.


Although it does not look like the system would be a heavy rain producer, it
could keep us in showers until midweek, finally diminishing on Wednesday.

POTENT COLD FRONT AHEAD: Early in the week, a significant cold air regime
will be establishing itself over Canada and preparing for an invasion. That
invasion will be in full force by Wednesday behind the phalanx of a strong
cold front which will be steamrolling south. That front should reach
Alabama on Thursday, bringing us much cooler and drier air. It promises to
be the coolest air we have seen in the state since at least May, and perhaps
as long as mid-April.

SNEAK PEEK NEXT WEEKEND: Beautiful weather should prevail on Saturday, with
lots of sunshine and cool temperatures. High pressure should slide off to
the east by Sunday, allowing for a dramatic return of southerly winds. This
will increase moisture levels and warmth starting on Sunday and lasting into
Monday.

Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb

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TONIGHT
Cloudy with a chance of showers.
Morning Low 61
WIND: E 5-10

SUNDAY
Morning showers, a steady rain moves in during afternoon into overnight.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 73
WIND: E 7-14

MONDAY
Cloudy with a chance of showers.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 71
WIND: SE 6-12

TUESDAY
Occasional light rain.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 75
WIND: W 5-10

WEDNESDAY
A little morning light rain, then clearing.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 71
WIND: W 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

6:00pm News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Liar Liar
9:00pm Desperate Housewives
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News/Sports Final
10:35pm Maximum Exposure

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